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مدل سازی اثر تحریم های خارجی بر ایجاد ادعاهای پیمانکاری پروژه های طرح و ساخت کشور | ||
| مدیریت صنعتی | ||
| مقاله 10، دوره 6، شماره 4، دی 1393، صفحه 809-829 اصل مقاله (978.08 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله علمی پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/imj.2014.50687 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| محمود گلابچی1؛ هادی تلخابی* 2؛ مجید پرچمی جلال3؛ محمد میرکاظمی مود4 | ||
| 1استاد دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران | ||
| 2دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت پروژه و ساخت، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران | ||
| 3استادیار دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران | ||
| 4دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت، گرایش تحقیق در عملیات، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| ادعاها به ویژگیهای ذاتی صنعت ساخت تبدیل شدهاند. مطالعههایی برای شناسایی علل این ادعاها انجام شده است، اما این مقولهها هنوز رواج دارند. شاید دلیل این امر، نیاز به درک بهتر پیچیدگی بین متغیرهای علّی ایجاد ادعاست. در این راستا میتوان به وجود تحریمها در سالهای اخیر و آثار احتمالی آن بر صنعت ساخت و درنتیجه، بر ایجاد ادعا اشاره کرد؛ بنابراین، ابتدا با استفاده از اطلاعات جمعآوریشده، 15 علت ایجاد ادعا- که بر اثر اعمال تحریمها در پروژههای طرح و ساخت بهوجود آمده است- مشخص شده و با استفاده از آن، یک مدل علّی - معلولی از تأثیر تحریمها بر ایجاد ادعا توسعه یافته است. سپس سیستم مورد مطالعه، در سه سناریو مختلف از اعمال تحریمها شبیهسازی شده است. نتایج نشان میدهد بروز تحریمها با تأثیر گذاشتن بر بعضی دیگر از جنبههای پروژه، سبب بروز ادعاهای جدید میشود و بر افزایش زمان و هزینه، به‌عنوان علل اصلی ایجاد ادعا اثر میگذارد. این تأثیرها با افزایش شدت تحریمها افزایش مییابد و موجب رشد شدید و نمایی ادعاهای پیمانکاران میشود. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| : پروژههای طرح و ساخت؛ تحریم؛ علل ایجاد ادعا؛ مدل علّی- معلولی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Modeling the effect of external sanctions on contractor's claims in DB project in Iran | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Mahmoud Golabchi1؛ Hadi Talkhabi2؛ Majid Parchami Jalal3؛ Mohammad Mirkazemi Mood4 | ||
| 1Prof., University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 2MSc. Student in Project Management and Construction, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 3Assistant Prof., University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 4PhD Candidate, Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Claimed have became one of the inherent attribute of construction industry. In order to determine the most appropriate strategy for prevention and resolution of these claims, some studies have been conducted to identify claim`s causes but they are common in construction industry. It seems that the reason of making these claims is a better understanding of complexity and the casual variables. In this regard, one can refer to sanctions and their possible effects on the construction industry over recent years, resulting in the creation of remarkable claims. A “cause and effect model” of the impact of sanctions on creating claims in DB project has developed by the information collected through interviews as well as the study of documents related to the recent claims. Then, the studied system is simulated under three different sanction scenarios. The results show that incidence of sanctions influence other aspects of the project and will cause new claims and affect time and cost as the main causes of claims and this effect increases with the severity of sanctions thereby casuing vigorous growth and exponential claims. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| causes of claims, cause and effect model, sanctions, DB project | ||
| مراجع | ||
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