Sghafi, Fateme, Aliahmadi, Alireza, Ghazi Noory, Seyed Sepehr, Hourali, Mansoureh. (1394). Developing and Identifying Possibility & Plausibility of E-Government Services Scenarios in Iran by 1404. , 7(1), 49-68. doi: 10.22059/jitm.2015.53239
Fateme Sghafi; Alireza Aliahmadi; Seyed Sepehr Ghazi Noory; Mansoureh Hourali. "Developing and Identifying Possibility & Plausibility of E-Government Services Scenarios in Iran by 1404". , 7, 1, 1394, 49-68. doi: 10.22059/jitm.2015.53239
Sghafi, Fateme, Aliahmadi, Alireza, Ghazi Noory, Seyed Sepehr, Hourali, Mansoureh. (1394). 'Developing and Identifying Possibility & Plausibility of E-Government Services Scenarios in Iran by 1404', , 7(1), pp. 49-68. doi: 10.22059/jitm.2015.53239
Sghafi, Fateme, Aliahmadi, Alireza, Ghazi Noory, Seyed Sepehr, Hourali, Mansoureh. Developing and Identifying Possibility & Plausibility of E-Government Services Scenarios in Iran by 1404. , 1394; 7(1): 49-68. doi: 10.22059/jitm.2015.53239

Developing and Identifying Possibility & Plausibility of E-Government Services Scenarios in Iran by 1404

Journal of Information Technology Management
مقاله 4، دوره 7، شماره 1، 2015، صفحه 49-68    اصل مقاله (559.13 K)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jitm.2015.53239
نویسندگان
Fateme Sghafi* 1؛ Alireza Aliahmadi2؛ Seyed Sepehr Ghazi Noory3؛ Mansoureh Hourali4
1Assistant Prof., Interdisciplinary Department of Technology, Faculty of New Sciences and Technologies, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
2Prof., Faculty of Industries, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran
3Associate Prof., Economic and Management Dept., Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran
4Ph.D. Candidate, Industry Engineering, Payam-E Noor University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده
Many documents in the field of e-government services in Iran have been developed and recently approved, but these documents were ignored future trends and scenarios. The aim of research is developing futures scenario of e-government services by 1404. In this study, using the global network business and success factors, the important uncertainties are identified by expert’s opinions. Population is of 50 Iranian e-government experts and futurists. The current research is the compound research. Using questionnaires and analysis of documents and expert panel, the required data are gathered. Validity of the questionnaire assessed using the panel of experts and the Cronbach's alpha was used for validation. With determination of three uncertainty composed of trust, interoperability and world trade market entry according to the expert's views as the main scenario, eight scenarios were extracted. Then, with the help of experts, four scenario with higher degree of feasibility were selected which allows policymakers to deal with the best possible of future situation.
کلیدواژه‌ها
e-government scenario method؛ Futures Studies؛ uncertainty
مراجع
آمار
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