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Identifying and prioritizing of risks in electric industry development projects (Case study: transmission and high distribution of Khorasan Regional Electric Co.) | ||
| Advances in Industrial Engineering | ||
| مقاله 10، دوره 49، شماره 1، تیر 2015، صفحه 107-116 اصل مقاله (659.54 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jieng.2015.54145 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Farhad Kolahan* 1؛ Ebrahim Rezayinik2؛ Marziyeh Hassani Doughabadi3؛ Hamid Ramezanpour2؛ Amirreza Tajadod4 | ||
| 1Faculty of Engineering, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, I.R. Iran | ||
| 2Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Sadjad Institute of Higher Education, Mashhad, I.R. Iran | ||
| 3Dept. of Industrial Engineering, Young Researchers Club, Islamic Azad University, Firoozkooh, I.R. Iran | ||
| 4Khorasan Razavi Regional Electric Company, I.R. Iran | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Each year many large scale national projects face execution problems. In this regard, risk management can play a significant role in identifying and taking proper measures. In this research, using Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK), a risk management procedure has been designed and implemented in transmission and high distribution power lines of Khorasan Regional Electric Company. First, using the results obtained from field studies and other information gathering tools, different kinds of risks in transmission and high distribution power lines have been identified. Next, risks analysis have been carried out based on probability of occurrence, ease of detection, manageability as well as their impact on project goals. The rate of goals achievement was taken into account by three criteria including time, cost and quality of execution. This followed by classification of the risks, through risk breakdown structure, and then their prioritization. The results show that budget shortage, sanctions issues, improper selection of project team, have been the main risks in the projects considered in this research. The proposed approach in this study, with minor modifications, may be employed to manage the risks in other large scale national projects. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Risk analysis and prioritization؛ Project Management Body of Knowledge؛ risk breakdown structure؛ electricity production industry | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| شناسایی و اولویت بندی ریسک های پروژه های توسعه صنعت برق کشور (مطالعه موردی: حوزه انتقال و فوق توزیع شرکت برق منطقه ای خراسان) | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| فرهاد کلاهان1؛ ابراهیم رضایی نیک2؛ مرضیه حسنی دوغ آبادی3؛ حمید رمضان پور2؛ امیررضا تجدد4 | ||
| 1دانشیار دانشکدة مهندسی دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد | ||
| 2استادیار دانشکدة مهندسی صنایع مؤسسة آموزش عالی سجاد مشهد | ||
| 3کارشناس ارشد مهندسی صنایع دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی فیروزکوه، باشگاه پژوهشگران جوان | ||
| 4کارشناس ارشد شرکت برق منطقهای خراسان رضوی | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| سالیانه تعدادی از پروژههای کلان ملی با مشکلات اجرایی روبهرو میشود. مدیریت ریسک میتواند نقشی بسزا در شناسایی و اقدامات پیشگیرانه در این زمینه داشته باشد. در این پژوهش، مدیریت ریسک در پروژههای حوزة انتقال و فوق توزیع شرکت برق منطقهای خراسان با استفاده از استاندارد «گسترة دانش مدیریت پروژه» طراحی و اجرا شد. ابتدا، انواع ریسک حوزة انتقال و فوق توزیع شناسایی شد. سپس، ریسکها بر اساس احتمال وقوع، قابلیت شناسایی، مدیریتپذیری، و تأثیر بر اهداف پروژه ارزیابی شد. میزان تحقق اهداف نیز توسط سه معیار زمان و هزینه و کیفیت اجرا لحاظ شد. در ادامه، ریسکها در قالب «ساختار شکست ریسک» دستهبندی و در نهایت اولویتبندی شدند. نتایج نشان داد کمبود بودجه، تحریمها، و انتخاب نامناسب عوامل پروژه از ریسکهای مؤثر در پروژههای حوزة تحقیقاند. رویکرد پیشنهادی را میتوان با تغییرات جزئی، جهت مدیریت ریسکها، در سایر پروژههای کلان ملی به کار گرفت. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| تحلیل و اولویتبندی ریسکها, ساختار شکست ریسک, صنعت تولید برق, گسترة دانش مدیریت پروژه | ||
| مراجع | ||
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