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شناسایی دلایل در دستورکار قرار نگرفتن مسئله افزایش سطح آب دریا در خط‌مشی‌های دولت | ||
| سیاستگذاری عمومی | ||
| مقاله 4، دوره 5، شماره 3، 1398، صفحه 91-111 اصل مقاله (1.34 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ppolicy.2019.73709 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| الهام اوستان* 1؛ غلامرضا طالقانی2؛ مجتبی امیری3؛ حسین نگارستان4 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری مدیریت دولتی پردیس بین الملل کیش دانشگاه تهران | ||
| 2استاد مدیریت دولتی دانشگاه تهران | ||
| 3دانشیار مدیریت دولتی دانشگاه تهران | ||
| 4استادیار شیلات دانشگاه آزاد واحد تهران شمال | ||
| چکیده | ||
| افزایش سطح آب دریا یکی از خطرناکترین پیامدهای ناشی از تغییر اقلیم است که تهدیدی جدی برای مناطق ساحلی کشورهای توسعه‌یافته و در حال توسعه است. هدف از پژوهش حاضر، استفاده از مدل چهارچوب جریانات چندگانه کینگدون به منظور شناسایی عواملی است که از افزایش سطح آب دریا به عنوان یک مسأله نیازمند دستورگذاری خط‌مشی در مناطق ساحلی جنوبی ایران ممانعت به عمل می‌آورد. روش پژوهش از نوع آمیخته و از نظر گردآوری داده‌ها نیز از نوع تحقیقات کیفی و اکتشافی است که با استفاده از تکنیک دلفی انجام گردید. اعضای پنل دلفی در مجموع 10 گویه را مطرح نمودند که در نهایت 9 گویه بیشترین ضریب اهمیت را به ترتیب اولویت کسب نمودند.نتایج بیان می‌کنند که دیدگاه‌های مبهمی در سطوح خط‌مشی‌گذاری نسبت به افزایش سطح آب دریا به عنوان یک مسأله عمومی وجود دارد و اجماع نظر روشنی درخصوص لزوم توجه به این مسأله وجود ندارد. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| خط‌مشی‌گذاری؛ افزایش سطح آب دریا؛ چهارچوب جریانات چندگانه؛ دستورگذاری | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Identification of Factors Prevent Sea Level Rise from Rising onto the Policy Agenda in the Government’s Policies | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Elham Oustan1؛ Gholamreza Taleghani2؛ Mojtaba Amiry3؛ Hossein Negarestan4 | ||
| 1Ph.D. Student in Public Administration, Kish International Campus, University of Tehran, Iran | ||
| 2Faculty of Management University of Tehran | ||
| 3Associate Professor, Faculty of Public Administration, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 4Assistant Professor, Faculty of Fisheries, Islamic Azad University, North Tehran Branch | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Sea level rise is one of the most dangerous outcomes of climate change, which poses a serious threat to the coastal areas of developed and developing countries. This study identifies the factors that prevent the sea level rise in being recognized as problems requiring policy agenda setting by using Kingdon’s multiple streams framework model. The mixed research method applied in this research and in terms of data collection, qualitative and exploratory research was carried out by using Delphi technique. The members of the Delphi panel presented 10 items and finally, in order of priority, 9 items received the highest importance factor. Research findings state that there are ambiguous perspectives on policy-making levels towards increasing sea level rise as a public problem, and there is no consensus on the need for attention to this issue. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Policy-Making, Sea Level Rise, Multiple streams Framework, Agenda Setting | ||
| مراجع | ||
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