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تبیین مدل مفهومی شاخصهای تاثیرگذار بر اولویتبندی محصولات کشاورزی برای ورود به الگوی کشت | ||
تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران | ||
دوره 51، شماره 4، دی 1399، صفحه 817-831 اصل مقاله (1.28 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijaedr.2020.300604.668899 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
نیلوفر یاراحمدی1؛ ابراهیم امیری تکلدانی* 2؛ احمد ماکویی3 | ||
1دانشجوی دکتری سازههای آبی، گروه مهندسی آبیاری و آبادانی، پردیس کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران | ||
2استاد، گروه مهندسی آبیاری و آبادانی، پردیس کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی دانشگاه تهران، کرج، ایران | ||
3استاد، گروه مهندسی صنایع، دانشکده مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه علم و صنعت ایران، تهران، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
کشاورزی یکی از بخشهای اساسی تولیدی در هر کشور محسوب میشود. افزایش رشد و کارایی این بخش، مستلزم ﺗﺪوﯾﻦ اﻟﮕﻮی ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ، دﻗﯿﻖ و واﻗﻊﺑﯿﻨﺎﻧﻪ ﮐﺸﺖ ﻣﺤﺼﻮﻻت ﺑﺮاﺳﺎس اﻫﺪاف و ﻣﻌﯿﺎرﻫﺎی ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ در راﺳﺘﺎی ﺗﺄﻣﯿﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﮐﻞ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﻪی ذیﻧﻔﻊ ﮐﺸﺎورزی در ﺑﻠﻨﺪﻣﺪت اﺳﺖ. هدف از انجام این پژوهش، شناسایی و رتبهبندی شاخصهای تاثیرگذار بر اولویتبندی محصولات کشاورزی به منظور انتخاب در الگوی کشت، با استفاده از روش پژوهش ترکیبی تحلیل عامل اکتشافی و فرآیند تحلیل شبکهای بود. در راستای دستیابی به اهداف پژوهش، ابتدا با بررسی پیشینه تحقیق، شاخصهای اولویتبندی محصولات کشاورزی استخراج و سپس، با استفاده از روش تحلیل عاملی اکتشافی و با استفاده از نرمافزار SPSS 25، این شاخصها دستهبندی شد و مدل مفهومی عوامل و شاخصهای تاثیرگذار بر اولویتبندی محصولات کشاورزی ساخته شد. در مرحله بعد، با استفاده از روش فرآیند تحلیل شبکه، به رتبهبندی شاخصها پرداخته شد. بر اساس نتایج تحقیق، شاخصها تحت شش عامل فرهنگی و اجتماعی، سیاسی، ملاحظات پدافند غیرعامل، آب، تاثیرات زیست محیطی و اقتصاد، دستهبندی شدند. همچنین، شاخصهای "هزینه داخلی منابع محصول" با وزن 2277/0، "فرهنگ پذیرش" با وزن 1468/0، "ریسکپذیری کشاورز برای پذیرش کشت جدید" با وزن 1160/0 و "نیاز آبیاری محصول" با وزن 0754/0، مهمترین شاخصها در فرآیند سنجش اولویتبندی محصولات کشاورزی ارزیابی شدند. مدل مفهومی ارایه شده این تحقیق میتواند به انتخاب محصولات برتر برای کشت، کمک کرده و امکان تعیین الگوی کشت بهینه را فراهم آورد. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
الگوی کشت؛ اولویتبندی محصولات کشاورزی؛ هزینه داخلی منابع محصول | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
Structuring a Conceptual Model of Determinant Criteria on Crops' Prioritization to Be Selected in Crop Pattern | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Niloufar Yarahmadi1؛ Ebrahim Amiri Tokaldany2؛ Ahmad Makui3 | ||
1PhD candidate, Department of Irrigation and Reclamation Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran | ||
2Professor, Department of Irrigation and Reclamation Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran | ||
3Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, Iran | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
Agricultural sector is one of the main production sectors in each country. Increasing the growth and efficiency of this sector requires the development of a proper, accurate and realistic model of crops planting based on different goals and criteria, in order to provide the benefits of the whole beneficiary community in long term. The purpose of this research was to identify, validate and rank the effective criteria on crops prioritization for being selected in the cropping pattern, using a hybrid research method of exploratory factor analysis and analytical network process. In order to achieving the research goals, in the first phase, by aid of literature reviewing, effective criteria on crops prioritization have been selected, and then by using exploratory factor analysis method and application of SPSS 25 software, these criteria have been loaded on 6 factors named: cultural and social, political, passive defense, water, environmental impacts and economics. The final step of this phase was the construction of the conceptual model of the factors and effective criteria. In second phase the criteria were ranked by using analytical network process method and application of Super Decisions software. According the results the most important criteria in the process of assessing the prioritization of crops are listed as below: “Domestic Resource Cost” with a weight of 0.2277, “consent culture” with a weight of 0.1468, “risk taking attitude of farmer” with a weight of 0.1160, and “crops’ irrigation water demand” with a weight of 0.0754. The conceptual model can facilitate the selection process of crops and ease the designing of optimal crop pattern. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
Crop Pattern, Crops Prioritization, Domestic Resource Cost | ||
مراجع | ||
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