Geopolitical Expounding of Africa’s Conflicts since the End of Cold War (Case Study: The States Located between 0 to 15th Parallel North) | ||
| Journal of World Sociopolitical Studies | ||
| مقاله 6، دوره 5، شماره 3 - شماره پیاپی 17، پاییز 2021، صفحه 603-658 اصل مقاله (571.29 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/wsps.2022.331134.1240 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Meysam Mirzaei Tabar1؛ Mohammad Reza Hafeznian* 2؛ Seyed Yahya Safavi3؛ Hadi Azami4 | ||
| 1Assistant Professor of Geopolitics, Center for African Studies, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 2Professor of Political Geography, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 3Professor of Political Geography, Imam Hussein University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 4Associate Professor of Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran | ||
| چکیده | ||
| A conflict can involve anything from a personal disagreement between two people to the emergence of a world war. When a conflict arises, a combination of the main components of geopolitics (geography, politics and power) plays a role in its formation. Thus, the roots of the conflict can be explained in the frame of the principles of geopolitics. Most of the conflicts in Africa occur in 0-15 degrees north. The current study is a work of “basic research”. In terms of nature and method, it is “descriptive” and in terms of attitude, it falls in the category of “descriptive-analytic” research. Data gathering was done by a documentary method and through consulting library resources. The data analysis method was qualitative. The research set out to find an answer to the following question: “From a geopolitical point of view, which factors affect interstate and intrastate conflicts in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa?” The current study has explained the roots of the conflicts from a geopolitical perspective through studying the conflicts in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa. This study led to the presentation and introduction of 26 geopolitical root causes for conflicts. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Africa؛ Boundary؛ Conflict؛ Ethnicity؛ Geopolitics؛ Religion | ||
| اصل مقاله | ||
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This is an open access work published under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License (CC BY-SA 4.0), which allows reusers to distribute, remix, adapt, and build upon the material in any medium or format, so long as attribution is given to the creator. The license allows for commercial use (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/)
Geopolitics studies the mutual relation between geography, power, politics, and reactions caused by their combination (Hafeznia, 1385 [2006 A.D.], p. 37). In other words, it comprises a domain of political geography addressing the mutual relation between geography and politics in connection with power (Hafeznia & Kaviani Rad, 1393 [2014 A.D.], pp. 153-154). Geopolitical research can yield valuable results on global, regional, national and local scales. Conflict occurs when two individuals, groups of people, or states take certain policies that are against one another (Frankel, 1973, p. 87). Conflict arises from a disagreement on essential interests from micro to macro scales and from personal to state levels, and is developed due to continuation and unsettlement, resulting in causalities and economic damages. In this research, conflict refers to any disagreement with any degree of severity, namely war. Circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa is the region between the zero-degree (equator) to 15 degrees orbiting the Northern Hemisphere in Africa and includes 29 states as follows: Djibouti, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Central Africa, Cameroon, Nigeria, Benin, Togo, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Equatorial Guinea, Liberia, Sierra Leone, the Gambia, Somalia, Eritrea, Kenya, Sudan, Uganda, Chad, Senegal, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Congo, Gabon, Niger and Mali.
20 states from 29 states of circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa, including Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Central African Republic, Cameroon, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Nigeria, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Senegal are involved in 38 conflicts as follows: The Somali National Movement (SNM) conflict and establishment of Somaliland in the north of Somali; the conflict between the Somali Salvation Democratic Front (SSDF) and the temporary federal state to establish Puntland state in the north of Somalia; the conflict between Puntland and Somaliland in Somalia; the conflicts of Al-Ittihad al-Islami (AIAI) group in Somalia; the conflicts of Islamic Courts Union (ICU) with the temporary federal state of Somalia; conflicts of the rebel group Harakat al-Shabaab of Somalia; ethnic conflicts in the border areas of Somalia and Kenya; the tribal conflicts in Somalia; the conflict between Eritrea and Djibouti; the conflict between Eritrea and Ethiopia; the conflict between Eritrea and Yemen; the conflict between Oromo Liberation Front (OLF) and the state in Oromo region of Ethiopia; the conflict between the Afar Revolutionary Democratic Unity Front (ARDUF) and the Ethiopian state; the ethnic and tribal conflicts in Ethiopia; Muslim and Christian conflicts in Ethiopia; the conflict between Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan on the Nile river; the Tana Delta conflicts in Kenya; Darfur region conflicts in Sudan; the conflicts between the state of Sudan and Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army (SPLM/A) and Sudan People’s Liberation Movement/Army of North (SPLM/A-N) before and after the collapse of Sudan; the conflict between Sudan and South Sudan; Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) conflict with the state of Uganda; the conflict between Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo in the area of Lake Albert; Seleka and Anti-balaka’s conflict in the Central African Republic; the conflict between armed rebel groups with the state in the Central African Republic; the conflict between Cameroon and Nigeria; the conflict between Equatorial Guinea and Gabon; the conflicts in Niger Delta in Nigeria; the conflict in Nigeria to gain independence in Biafra region; Muslims and Christians conflicts in Nigeria; the conflict between Boko Haram and Nigeria state; conflicts of farmers and cowmen in Burkina Faso; the ethnic conflicts in Ghana; the sea borders disputes between the Ivory Coast and Ghana; conflicts in the regions of cacao cultivation in the Ivory Coast; the conflict between Forces Nouvelles (FN) and the state of the Ivory Coast; the ethnic conflicts in the Ivory Coast; the conflicts in N'Zérékoré region of Guinea; the ethnic and tribal conflicts in Guinea-Bissau; the conflicts in the Casamance region of Senegal. Some studies and research have been done in the background of the present study. In a model, Peter Haggett presents the geographical factors causing tension in relations between countries in the form of a hypothetical landlocked country with no access to open water, called “The Hypothetica”. In this model, Haggett mentions twelve geographic factors causing tension in relations between countries (Haggett, 2001, pp. 522-527). Referring to the phrase “Geopolitical Friction” in the book of “Military Geography for Professionals and the Public,” John M Collins introduces the five factors of conflict, namely friction over territorial limits, strategic friction, economic friction, cultural friction, and environmental friction (Collins, 1998, pp. 285-301). In his PhD thesis entitled “Finding the Pattern of Tension Based on Geopolitical Resourses in Interstate Relations (Case study: South-west Asia)”, Ribaz Ghorbaninejad examines the geopolitical resources of tension between countries in eight groups by updating Peter Haggett’s “Hypothetica” model (Ghorbaninejad, 1392 [2013 A.D.], p. 353).
The research is applied in its goal and intends to investigate geopolitical causes of the conflicts in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa. The research is qualitative in its method, and the data gathering procedure is based on library findings. Data analysis is done qualitatively. It involves library research and of the meta-study and Meta Synthesis type. The research intends to find an answer to the following question: “From a geopolitical point of view, which factors affect interstate and intrastate conflicts in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa?” The hypothesis is that the geopolitical causes of conflicts in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa include territorialization and expansionism of ethnic groups and tribes, followers of religions, the states, colonial actions, state weakness in optimal management of the territory, foreign interventions, environmental degradation, climate change, lack of spatial justice, historical memory, weakness in delimitation and accurate borders marking, and so on.
Since the fourth century BC, various views and theories have been presented by philosophers and thinkers specializing in political science, sociology, international relations, geography, political geography, geopolitics, etc., on conflict and its causes. The most central of these postulations include 22 views and theories as presented in the following four thematic groups:
According to these views and theories, the main causes of conflicts in 10 groups of Individual, Social, Economic and Geo-economics, Cultural and Geocultural, Territorial, Political, Geostrategic, Historical, Geographical and Hydropolitical factors include the elements illustrated in the following table (Mirzaei Tabar et al., 1396 [2018 A.D.], pp. 170-172):
Based on different views and theories about conflicts, as well as the study of 40 conflicts in the countries located in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa in three categories of ethnic and tribal conflicts, interfaith and religious conflicts, and boundary and territorial conflicts, the most important geopolitical causes of these conflicts are presented as follows:
In Ethiopia, one of the causes of the conflict between the Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) and the state pertains to the colonial competition between Britain and France for gaining power over Ethiopia and the region of Ogaden and gerrymandering boundary delimitation (Notholt, 2009, pp. 2.22-2.23). In the conflicts of ARDUF and the Ethiopian state, division of the Afar ethnic group between Ethiopia, Eritrea, and Djibouti by the “Colonial Geopolitical Architecture” of France and Italy has paved the way for the conflict (Yasin, 2008, p. 43). In the east of Ethiopia, the division of the region between Ethiopia, France, Britain, and Italy, and delimitation of imposed borders have resulted in the conflicts among Garre, Gabbra, Borana, and Issa tribes (Adegehe, 2009, pp. 183-194). Ethnic tensions of Ghana pertains to the change in the administrative borders of the regions and colonial territorialization without considering ethnic characteristics (Berry, 1995, p. 79; Mbowura, 2014, p. 110). In the north of Somalia, conflicts over establishing Somaliland and Puntland have been the result of biased and vague delimitation of borders by colonials. One of the roots of the conflict between Somaliland and Puntland pertains to the colonial decisions (Hoehne, 2015, p. 14, 36). One of the causes of conflicts in the Casamance region of Senegal is the delimitation of borders by Britain’s colonial forces and ethnic division of the region through establishing Gambia, which has divided Senegal into two unequal parts (Fall, 2010, p. 31; Zartman, 2017, p. 1). Also, one of the causes of conflicts between Ethiopia and Eritrea is ambiguity in border agreements signed in the era of Italy’s colonial empire. This ambiguity resulted in the disagreements on the accurate location of the border and disputes about Badme city (International Crisis Group, 2003, pp. 2-3). One of the causes of Ethiopia’s dispute with Egypt and Sudan over Nile River pertains to Britain’s agreements with Ethiopia and Sudan, which paved the way for conflict (Nunzio, 2013, p. 8). The main cause of the conflict between Eritrea and Djibouti over Ras Doumeira was European powers’ interventions in imposing borders in Horn of Africa (Wolfinbarger, Drake, & Ashcroft, 2015, p. 2). Likewise, a cause of the conflict between Nigeria and Cameroon over Bakassi pertains to Britain and Germany’s agreement in which the peninsula were transitioned from Nigeria to Cameroon (Tarlebbea & Baroni, 2010, p. 199). The main conflict between the Ivory Coast and Ghana in the Atlas Ocean has its roots in the colonial policies in the delimitation of international borders of the West African states (Bening, 2014, pp. 82-83). The conflict between Equatorial Guinea and Gabon over Mbanie, Cocotiers, and Congas in the Gulf of Guinea pertains to Spain and France’s agreement on the delimitation of West African borders that excludes the three islands (Yoon, 2009, pp. 11-13). In the conflict of Uganda and Democratic Republic of Congo, some of the causes of the conflict over Roko Vanzi go back to Uganda’s claim on the island and the decisions made in the colonial era (Westerkamp & Houdret, 2010, p. 11).
In the eastern, western, southern, southwestern, and southeastern regions of Ethiopia the main conflicts are over territorialization and expansionism and the competition between ethnic groups and tribes to protect vital resources such as water, land, pastures, and gold (Adegehe, 2009, p. 181; Berhe & Adaye, 2007, p. 9; Richards & Bekele, 2011, pp. 27-33; Gebre, Hadgu, & Ambaye, 2005, pp. 17-20; Stark, Terasawa, & Ejigu, 2011, pp. 2-3). Competition over water, pastures, and fertile lands is one of the causes of the conflict in Darfur (Gebrewold-Tochalo, 2009, p. 160; Akasha, 2014, pp. 55-56). Territorialization and conflict over land as well as the share of natives in oil incomes constitute one of the causes of dispute between ethnic groups and oil companies, as well as the ethnic conflicts in the Niger Delta in Nigeria (Osuigwe, 2010, pp. 82, 97-98). The conflict between the ethnic groups in the north, northeast, and south of Ghana pertains to the territorialization, expansionism, and competition over land and water (Yelyang, 2016, p. 90; Berry, 1995, p. 79; Patel, Rogan, Cuba, & Bebbington, 2016, p. 454). In the cacao farms in the Ivory Coast, conflicts have occurred between the state and Forces Nouvelles due to competition over land and natural resources such as gold and diamond (Alao, 2011, p. 53; Guesnet, Müller, & Schure, 2009, p. 60; Quitzow, 2008, p. 34). Likewise, in Guinea Bissau, different farmer and cowmen groups have come into conflict over wealth and scarce productive resources (Voz di Paz & Interpeace, 2010, p. 72). Some of the causes of conflict in Somalia in the area of Somaliland and Puntland emanate from territorialization, expansionism, and competition over land and water (Hoehne, 2015, pp. 152-153; Osman, 2007, p. 120). In the Tana Delta, ethnic and tribal groups have come into conflict over land, pastures, scarce resources, and water (Martin, 2012, p. 184). One of the causes of instability in the border areas of Somalia and Kenya is dispute over natural resources such as water, land, and pastures (Menkhaus, 2005a, p. 4, 43; Menkhaus, 2008, p. 25).
In Ethiopia, one of the causes of the conflict between different cowmen and farmers groups, as well as the conflict between OLF and the state is to protect identities and confront the fading of ethnic and tribal values, in particular the values held by Afar ethnic groups (Richards & Bekele, 2011, p. 27, 31; Hassen, 2009, p. 32). One of the causes of the conflict in South Kordofan of Sudan is the protests of Nuba people against the state policies in order to change the demographic texture and to diminish their cultural and identity values through the promotion of Islamic and Pan-Arabist ideas in the region (Gebrewold-Tochalo, 2009, p. 156). In the separatist movements of MASSOB against the state in Nigeria, Igbo people have recognized the Biafra region as their homeland and as an essential part of their identity, claiming their political and territorial independence (Oloyede, 2009, pp. 19-20). Also, in the N'Zérékoré region in Guinea, the conflict between Konianke and Guerze ethnic groups is an identity conflict over claiming their land rights (Médam & Abouya, 2013, p. 13). One of the causes of the conflict over the division of Northern Somalia and its tribal conflicts, and the tribes’ prejudice against identity values emanate from the fact that the tribes do not accept other tribes’ identities (Hoehne, 2015, pp. 22-23; Osman, 2007, p. 120). One of the causes of the conflict in Senegal and the separatist movement of Casamance people involves the imposing nation building policies by the state, the sense of identity differences between the people of this region and their tendency to protect their identity (Fall, 2010, pp. 9-10; Zartman, 2017,
One of the causes of the conflict between ARDUF and OLF with the state in Ethiopia and one of the causes of ethnic conflicts is the marginalization by Afar and Oromo ethnicities, state discrimination, and struggle for political independence and their rights (Berhe & Adaye, 2007, p. 2; Beyene, 2011, p. 45; Hassen, 2009, p. 32). In Darfur of Sudan, delimitation of administrative borders of the region by the state and its division into three regions was a triumph to destabilize the Fur tribe in the region and to nullify the opposing groups’ actions which resulted in the conflict (Barltrop, 2011, p. 31). One of the causes of the conflict in the South African Republic between rebel groups and the state is the presidents’ biases toward their ethnicity at the expense of other ethnicities and ethnic discrimination. Presidents Kolingba (1981-1993), Patasse (1993-2003) and Bozizie were majorly concerned with promoting their own ethnicities, namely Yakoma, Sara-Kaba and Jibaya ethnicities, respectively (Siradag, 2016, p. 88). One of the causes of separatism in the Biafra region is marginalization of the Igbo people and a sense of discrimination towards the state (Oronsaye & Igbafe, 2012, p. 99). One of the causes of the claim to independence in Somaliland has been 10 years of suppression of the Issaq Tribe by Siad Barre administration (Hoehne, 2015, p. 41). One of the causes of the conflict in Casamance of Senegal has been the exclusion of Diola ethnic minorities by the state (Fall, 2010, p. 12).
In the zones of Shinile and Afder in the Somali region of Ethiopia, some of the causes of conflict have their roots in the ethnic and tribal conflict over political opportunism, competition over taking power, and exploiting ethnic differences (Richards & Bekele, 2011, pp. 29-32). In the ethnic conflicts of Delta Niger in Nigeria, the main conflict is competition for taking office, as well as gaining political superiority and dominance over the territory and natural resources (Osuigwe, 2010, p. 96). Ethnicities and tribes in Guinea Bissau vie for power and dominance over scarce natural resources (Voz di Paz & Interpeace, 2010, p. 72). In the north of Ghana, ethnic groups have come into conflict over taking power in their claims for power distribution on national and local levels (Mbowura, 2014, p. 108). One of the causes of the conflict in Casamance of Senegal pertains to appointing non-natives in the administrative centers of the region as the locals claim their share in power (Fall, 2010, p. 11).
In the southeast and southwest of Ethiopia, one of the causes of ethnic and tribal conflict pertains to the state weakness in proper management of the affairs, codifying destructive policies, as well as the underdevelopment and lack of spatial justice in territory (Gebre et al., 2005, p. 20; Alemu, 2013, p. 118). In Darfur and the east of Sudan, one of the causes of conflict is inequality in development and lack of attention to people’s welfare (Barltrop, 2011, p. 15; Young, 2007, pp. 21, 44). In the Central African Republic, the root cause of the conflict between the state and rebel groups has been the state weakness and managerial authority (Herbert, Dukham, & Debos, 2013, p. 7; Siradag, 2016, p. 89, 93). One of the causes of the conflict in the Niger Delta is the state’s failure to fairly distribute oil incomes in the oil-rich region as well as the marginalization of the natives (Osuigwe, 2010, p. 82). Unfair distribution of social and economic opportunities by the state accounts for one of the causes of ethnic conflict in Ghana (Berry, 1995, p. 79). One of the causes of ethnic conflict in Guiana Bissau, especially among natives and immigrants, pertains to the state policies in land and resource management (World Bank, 2006, p. 17). One of the causes of conflict in Somalia involving the division of the North and the establishment of Somaliland and Puntland, ethnic and tribal conflicts, and Somaliland and Puntland conflicts, pertains to the state’s weakness and failure (Hoehne, 2015, p. 15; World Bank, 2005, p. 16). One of the causes of separatism in Casamance of Senegal pertains to the sense of marginalization by natives due to state policies (Zartman, 2017, p. 2, 9, 30; Fall, 2010, p. 12).
In the southwest, east and south of Ethiopia, climate change by increase in the temperature, decrease in precipitation, as well as drought and water scarcity, has led to ethnic and tribal conflicts (Gebre et al., 2005, p. 22; Stark et al., 2011, pp. 3-4). One of the causes of the conflict in Darfur of Sudan pertains to climate change and competition among cowmen and farmers ethnicities over access to water and lands (Akasha, 2014, p. 10, 13). In the north of Nigeria, deforestation due to climate change is one of the causes of conflicts between cowmen and farmers (Okoli & Atelhe, 2014, p. 78 in Ayih, 2003, p. 15). In Guinea Bissau, deforestation caused by climate change and threats posed on rural agriculture has been one of the causes of ethnic and tribal conflicts (Voz di Paz & Interpeace, 2010, p. 8). In Burkina Faso (Snorek, Stark, & Terasawa, 2014, p. 21) and north of Ghana, climate changes have been one of the factors resulting in conflict among cowmen and farmers (Olaniyan, Francis, & Okeke-Uzodike, 2015, p. 54). One of the causes of the conflict between Egypt and Sudan over the Nile River and the construction of Renaissance Dam pertains to the climate change and forecasts about a decrease in river discharge in the future (Keith, Epp, Houghton, Lee, & Mayville, 2014, pp. 15-16). Climate change and forecasts about a decrease in vital resources have been one of the causes of ethnic and tribal conflict in the border areas of Somalia and Kenya (Menkhaus, 2005a, p. 4).
In Darfur and the east of Sudan, environmental degradation, as well as the decrease in vital resources such as water and soil, are some of the causes of ethnic and tribal conflict (Akasha, 2014, p. 55; Barltrop, 2011, p. 31; Pantuliano, 2005, p. 21). One of the causes of the conflict between natives and oil companies in the Niger Delta of Nigeria is environmental degradation caused by oil companies’ activities (Osuigwe, 2010, p. 82). Immigrants’ activities regarding converting forests to cacao farms along with forest degradation has been one of the causes of the conflict in Ghana (Amanor, 2005. P. 107). Environmental problems caused by the activities of gold extracting companies account for one of the causes of the conflict between these companies and the native population (Thompson, 2015, p. 106; Adonteng-Kissi, 2015, p. 76). Some of the causes of the conflict among farmers and cowmen in Guinea pertain to deforestation and environmental degradation (United States Agency for International Development, 2010, p. 3). One of the causes of the tribal conflict in Somalia pertains to environmental degradation and its consequences (Mbugua, 2013, p. 13). Also, some of the causes of the conflict in the north of Rift and the northeast of Kenya pertain to the soil erosion and environmental degradation (Kumssa, Jones, & Williams, 2009, p. 1011).
The role of intervention variant in the conflicts of circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa is applicable to ethnic and tribal conflicts in Ethiopia, the Somali Region, and the ONLF conflict with the state (International Crisis Group, 2013, p. 10), Kenyan intervention in Somalia and supporting the Jubaland region (Tadesse Demissie, 2021) and Uganda’s covert role in supporting the 23 March Movement (M23) insurgents in North Kivu Province of the DRC for strategic, economic and political purposes (Deutsche Welle, 2013, Jan. 4). In each of them geopolitical code, geopolitical interests, and geopolitical challenge play a role with the interventions of Eritrea, Kenya, and Uganda that supports ethnic groups opposing the neighboring states in line with territorialization and expansionism.
One of the causes of the conflict in Senegal and Casamance region separatists pertains to the geopolitical evolutions of the neighboring states, namely Guinea Bissau and Gambia as they affect Casamance people (Fall, 2010, p. 15). In the Central African Republic, some of the causes of the conflict between the state and rebel groups pertain to the regional unsettlements and in particular Chad instabilities (Herbert et al., 2013, p. 8).
The establishment of the federal system in Ethiopia and land use organization cooperatively account for one of the causes of ethnic conflict in different regions (Kenaw, 2013, pp. 55-61). One of the causes of conflict in cacao farms in the Ivory Coast pertains to the state policies which prompt immigrants to immigrate to this region and the plan of land possession (Woods, 2003. pp. 642-646; Chauveau, 2000, p. 99). One of the causes of the conflict among farmers and cowmen in the Tana Delta in Kenya pertains to the “land adjudication program” and the delimitation of new borders (Martin, 2012, p. 184).
One of the causes of the conflict between Muslim and Christian groups in Ethiopia pertains to the endeavor to expand and protect holy places by Muslims and Christians (Abbink, 2011, p. 253, 270). The AIAI group in Somalia and the Horn of Africa announced their goal to be the establishment of an Islamic state in Somalia and the adjunction of the Somali regions of Ethiopia and Ogaden to the state (Shinn, 2005, p. 101). This group sought to integration all Muslim groups’ settled in the Horn of Africa and the formation of an Islamic state (Menkhaus, 2005b, p. 35). One of the causes of the conflict between the Al-Shabaab group and the state is Al-Shabaab’s goal to establish an Islamic state not only in Somalia but also in the Somali settled regions of the Horn of Africa (Rudincová, 2011, p. 276). ICU in Somalia defines its goal to be the establishment of an Islamic state in the short term and the foundation of a greater Islamic state in the east of Africa in the long term (Abbink, 2009, pp. 101-102). One of the causes of Sudan’s collapse was the establishment of a democratic and independent “New Sudan” (Berry, 2015, p. 263) in a region where the majority of people were not Muslim. One of the causes of Boko Haram’s conflict in Nigeria is its goal to make the Nigerian state an Islamic state (Adewunmi Falode, 2016, p. 43) with Wahhabi doctrines. In the Ivory Coast in general and in the west and east of the state, some of the causes of conflict pertain to the ethnic and regional groups’ disputes over holy places (Quitzow, 2008, p. 34). One of the causes of LRA’s formation and its conflicts pertains to its goal to establish a Christian state and country (Marine Corps Intelligence Activity, 2014, p. 75).
One of the causes of the conflict between Muslims and Christens in Ethiopia is that the religious values as well as the identities of the followers of these religions are put in question by their opponents as Muslims and Christians strive to protect this identities (Abbink, 2011, pp. 266-272). Identity differences among northern and southern people are one of the causes of the conflict between SPLM/A and the central state in Sudan (Oppong, 2010, p. 9, 12, 45).
In the Central African Republic, one of the causes of the conflict between Muslim Seleka and Christian Anti-balaka has roots in the colonial policies to support Muslim cowmen ethnicity of Fulani and this group is accused to seize the lands of other ethnicities, which caused to form negative images form Muslims (Deiros, 2014, pp. 4-5). One of the causes of Sudan’s collapse pertains to the colonial policies regarding imposing borders and marginalizing the non-Muslim people of the south and the sovereignty of Arab Muslims (Essien & Falola, 2009, pp. 5-12). One of the causes of the inter-religion conflict in Nigeria pertains to Britain’s misuse of Islamic doctrines within the frame of colonial politics (Jacob & Saad, 2011, p. 32). One of the causes of the conflict of ICU and Al-shabaab groups pertains to these groups’ goal of protecting the Muslim ethnicity of Somali following its division into different states by colonial powers. In the period 1875-85, the ancestral lands of the Muslim Somali people became divided between four non-Muslim imperial powers: Britain, Ethiopia, France and Italy (Muir, 1997, p. 200). One of the causes of the conflicts of LRA in Uganda has roots in Britain’s policies, which marginalize the northern peoples of the country (Le Sage, 2011, p. 2).
In the east of Sudan, some of the Sufi Muslims are aware of the state’s violation of their rights (Young, 2007: 20). In the conflict resulting in the collapse of the state, codification of a constitution based on Islamic Sharia was one of the causes of the separatist movements in the south (Essien & Falola, 2009, p. 11, 42). In the Muslims and Christians’ conflict in Nigeria, Christians mostly settled in the south were unsatisfied with imposing the Islamic Sharia and the political dominance of Muslims settled in the north (Jacob & Saad, 2011, p. 31).
In the north of the Central African Republic where the majority of people are Muslim, one of the causes of the conflict in Seleka against the state and Anti-balaka is the marginalization of this region (Siradag, 2016, pp. 88-89; Deiros, 2014, p. 5). Some of the causes of the conflict between the Muslims settled in the north and the Christians settled in the south of Sudan pertains to the imbalanced development of the two regions and the exclusion of non-Muslims by the state (Barltrop, 2011, p. 15; Essien & Falola, 2009, p. 42). One of the causes of the conflict between the Nigerian state and Boko Haram pertains to the imbalanced development in the country and the exclusion of some people from different facilities (Azunna, 2015, p. 51). One of the causes of the conflict between LRA whose members are majorly from Akoli and Uganda state pertains to the marginalization of this ethnicity and their economic exclusion by the state (Jackson, 2010, p. 17).
One of the causes of the conflict between Muslim Seleka and Christian Anti-balaka in the Central African Republic is the endeavor to take office and drive out the state control from Seleka (Siradag, 2016, p. 90). One of the causes of the conflict between north and south to divide the state in Sudan pertains to the exclusion of the non-Muslims settled in the south from state positions and a lack of participation in the governmental administration of Sudan (Essien & Falola, 2009, p. 42). In Nigeria, one of the causes of the inter-religion conflict between Muslims and Christians pertains to the competition between Muslim Husa-Fulani people settled in the north and Christian Yurba people settled in the north to take political power (Ebegbulem, 2011, p. 83). In Uganda, one of the causes of the conflict between LRA and the state pertains to Akoli ethnic group’s lack of participation or limited participation in political and administrative affairs (Le Sage, 2011, p. 2; Jackson, 2010, p. 19).
One of the causes of the Muslims and Christens’ conflict in Ethiopia (Erlich, 2006, pp. 4-5), AIAI in Horn of Africa (Menkhaus, 2005b, p. 35), Muslim and Christian ethnic groups (Nwankwo, 2015, p. 298) and Boko Haram in Nigeria (Adewunmi, 2016, p. 43) and the Al-Shabaab conflict in Somalia (Agbiboa, 2014, p. 27) pertains to the Saudi Arabia’s intervention and its role in the promotion of Wahhabism. The country’s actions can be explained in the frame of expansionism, geopolitical code, geopolitical interests, geopolitical challenge, and geopolitical dependency. One of the causes of the conflict between SPLM/A and the state to gain independence from the South pertains to the support received by Uganda from this group (Berry, 2015, p. 284), which can be explained in terms of expansionism, territorialization, geopolitical code, and geopolitical challenge. One of the causes of the conflict between ICU of Somalia and Ethiopian Christians pertains to the support received by Eritrea from this group (Eichstaedt, 2010, p. 46), which can be explained in terms of expansionism, territorialization, geopolitical code, and geopolitical challenge. One of the causes of the conflict between LRA and the state pertains to the support received by Sudan (Berry, 2015, p. 284), which can be explained in terms of expansionism, territorialization, geopolitical code, and geopolitical challenge.
ICU in Somalia defined one of its ideal political goals to be the unification of the Muslims of Somali in the Horn of Africa in a united territory (Abbink, 2009, p. 98, 102). Al-Shabaab additionally defined one of its goal to be the establishment of “Great Somalia” and a nation state (Africa Center for Strategic Studies, 2015). One of the causes of the conflict between the state and LRA has roots in traditional beliefs or the cosmological ideology of the Akoli people that invite them to confront the state to save themselves (Le Sage, 2011, p. 2; Jackson, 2010, p. 11, 17).
One of the causes of the conflict between Muslims and Christians in Ethiopia pertains to Islamophobia and Christian people’s negative attitude toward Muslims, which is the result of historical contentions between these religion followers (Østebø, 2013, pp. 1035-1036). In the Central African Republic, one of the causes of the conflicts between Muslim Seleka and Christian Anti-balaka has roots in the history of the state and a lack of trust between the followers of religions (Deiros, 2014, p. 4). In Sudan, one of the causes of the conflicts between north and south and the collapse of the state is the history of violence and slave holding against the South in the process of integrating the region into the state system of Sudan (Sidahmed & Sidahmed, 2005, p. 137). In the north of Nigeria, one of the causes of the ethnic and religious conflicts pertains to the pre-colonial era and the kings’ actions to impose their religion on the people (Alhaji-shehu, 2012, p. 24). In this country, one of the causes of the ethnic and religious conflicts is historical memory in relation with slave trade and transporting tribal people as salves, which resulted in the division of ethnic groups (Phillips, 2004, pp. 37-39). In Ghana, ethnic tensions before the colonial era account for one of the causes of ethnic conflicts (Berry, 1995, p. 79). In the conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea, the leaders have demonstrated intense patriotic emotions. The historical contexts of Eritrea’s independence and accusing Ethiopia of invading Eritrea’s territory have had an effective role in the conflict (Tesfamichael, 2011, pp. 18-19). In the conflict between Sudan and South Sudan, one of the causes of the conflict pertains to the sense of historical humiliation of the North by the South (Ottaway & El-Sadany, 2012, p. 6). One of the causes of the conflict between Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo in Lake Albert pertains to the lack of trust between the two states due to historical occurrences (Westerkamp & Houdret, 2010, p. 21).
One of the causes of the conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea is territorialization and expansionism of Badme and the surrounding areas whose ownership of the territory is claimed by the parties (Marine Corps Intelligence Activity, 2014, pp. 7-8). In the conflict between Sudan and South Sudan, one of the causes of the conflict pertains to the competition over oil rich areas and in particular the Ebiyi region (Ottaway & El-Sadany, 2012, p. 6, 9, 11). One of the causes of the conflict between Cameroon and Nigeria over Bakassi peninsula lies in the oil extraction potentiality of the region along with its fishery resources (Tarlebbea & Baroni, 2010, p. 203). Competition over natural resources in the Atlas Ocean has paved the way for conflict between Ghana and the Ivory Coast (Bening, 2014, pp. 82-83). One of the causes of the conflict between Equatorail Guinea and Gabon pertains to the parties’ territorialization, expansionism, and dispute over the islands of Corisco Bay (Yoon, 2009, p. 20). One of the causes of the conflict between Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo in Lake Albert region pertains to the dispute over the oil-rich island of Rukwanzi and the occupation of the Ituri (Westerkamp & Houdret, 2010, pp. 10-11).
In the conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea, one of the causes of the conflict pertains to the dispute over Aseb port and the sense of land locked by Ethiopia (Tesfamichael, 2011, pp. 18-19). Some of the causes of the conflict between Ethiopia and Egypt and Sudan pertain to the immense importance of the Nile River for these states and in particular for Egypt (Swain, 2011, p. 688). One of the causes of the conflict between Nigeria and Cameroon pertains to the conflict over the strategic location of Bakassi (Shaibu, Azom, & Nwanze, 2015, p. 31). One of the causes of the conflict between Eritrea and Yemen on Hanish-Zuqar Archipelago in Red Sea pertains to the sea’s geopolitical and geostrategic importance (Stansfield, 2001, p. 20).
One of the causes of the conflict between Nigeria and Cameroon over Bakassi pertains to the demographic and cultural texture of the region which is similar to Nigeria’s, and this state’s claim on it (Shaibu et al., 2015, p. 34). In the conflict between Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo over Rokuvanzi, the presence of a Ugandan minority group in this island led to Uganda’s claim on the island (Westerkamp & Houdret, 2010, p. 11).
One of the causes of the conflict between Eritrea and Ethiopia pertains to the inaccurate delimitation of the borders after Eritrea’s independence from Ethiopia (International Crisis Group, 2003, p. 2; Tesfamichael, 2011, p. 17). One of the causes of the conflict between Sudan and South Sudan pertains to the inaccurate delimitation of the borders after the collapse of Sudan (Ottaway & El-Sadany, 2012, p. 10). One of the causes of the conflict between Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo in Lake Albert pertains to the border disputes in the lake region (Marine Corps Intelligence Activity, 2014, p. 7; Westerkamp & Houdret, 2010, p. 11).
One of the causes of the conflict in the border areas of Somalia and Kenya pertains to the marginality of these regions and poor governance of the state in the regions, which resulted in instability and conflict. In Kenya, vast, marginalized and frontier regions in the border areas of Ethiopia, Sudan, and Uganda are not under the absolute control of the states and the authority of state governance ranges from tenuous to non-existent (Menkhaus, 2008, p. 24).
This paper studied the geopolitical causes of conflicts in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa since the end of the Cold War. 20 states from the 29 states located in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa, including Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Central African Republic, Cameroon, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Senegal, are involved in a total of 40 conflicts. In order to achieve the purpose of the research and answer its main question, in the theoretical framework section, views and theories of conflict in the fields of political science, sociology, international relations as well as geography and geopolitics were examined and the most important factors influencing the occurrence of conflict were extracted based on these theories and views. Then, defining geopolitics as “the science of studying the relation between geography, power and politics and transactions resulted from their combination” and relying on this as a comprehensive definition, 40 conflicts in the countries located in circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa were identified and examined. In addition, the geopolitical root causes of these conflicts were identified and analyzed based on evidence. The conflicts in this region, in terms of type and nature, include three categories, namely ethnic and tribal conflicts, interfaith and religious conflicts, and boundary and territorial conflicts. The results indicate that the causes of the conflicts have a geopolitical nature and in each of them geopolitics and the composition of politics, power, and geographical factors play a role. In circle 0 to 15th parallel north of Africa, geopolitical causes of the conflict constitute the following:
Due to their comprehensiveness in characterizing the geopolitical roots of the conflicts and their repeatability when examining the causes of conflicts in other regions, the research findings are generalizable. They have also set the ground for proposing a theory entitled “the geopolitical theory of conflicts.” Based on this theory, the states conflicts in local, national, regional, and global levels have geopolitical roots and are the result of the active roles of power, politics, and geographical elements. This theory addresses the geopolitical causes of the conflict as follows:
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