Predicting Student Academic Performance: A Machine Learning Approach and Feature Analysis | ||
| Interdisciplinary Journal of Management Studies | ||
| دوره 18، شماره 3، پاییز 2025، صفحه 425-440 اصل مقاله (892.03 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijms.2025.362506.676053 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| Maryam Taher Mazandarani1؛ Zahra Zand1؛ Mohammad Hossein Khodabandelou2؛ Fatemeh Mozaffari1؛ Babak Sohrabi* 1 | ||
| 1Department of Information Technology Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 2Department of Industrial Management, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Predicting student academic performance is a challenging task and, at the same time, has significant implications for educators and policymakers in the field of education. By utilizing machine learning techniques, this article seeks to explore the relationship between various features across six categories: demographic factors, personality traits, skills, favorite activities, relationships with others, out-of-school activities on one hand, and academic performance in terms of Grade Point Average, on the other. The data utilized in this study has been collected through several surveys conducted in one of the schools in Iran over multiple years and educational levels, which form the basis of the analysis. Using CRISP-DM methodology, a predictive model is developed based on CatBoost Regressor. A predictive model with an R-squared value of 0.87 is developed. Moreover, the analysis of feature importance reveals that positive personality traits such as "Interest in studying," "The quality of homework," "Contentment," "Self-regulation," and "Logical thinking and reasoning" skills are among the most predictive features affecting students' academic performance which is rooted in and supported by some of the well-known psychological theories such as Self-Determination Theory. The contribution of the current research includes the development of a highly accurate prediction model based on the machine learning approach to predict student academic performance in terms of their GPA and to extract the most important features that influence it. This study is unique in this field due to the incorporation of various features and data collection across different years and educational stages. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Educational Data Mining (EDM)؛ Machine learning؛ Academic performance؛ Intrinsic motivation؛ Regression algorithms؛ Self-regulation | ||
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