Decision Intelligence: The New Core of Industrial Management in Complex and Uncertain Environments | ||
| Industrial Management Journal | ||
| سخن سردبیر، دوره 17، شماره 4، 2025، صفحه 1-6 اصل مقاله (472.91 K) | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/imj.2025.108487 | ||
| نویسنده | ||
| Hossein Safari* | ||
| Professor, Department of Technology and Innovation Management, Faculty of Industrial Management and Technology, College of Management, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran. | ||
| چکیده | ||
| Industrial management is entering a period in which uncertainty has become the defining characteristic of organizational decision-making rather than an occasional exception. As environmental complexity and dynamism intensify, competitive advantage is no longer determined solely by operational efficiency but by an organization's capability to sense changes, interpret uncertainty, and respond intelligently before disruptions escalate. In this context, decision-making itself has emerged as a strategic organizational capability rather than merely an operational function. As Vecchiato (2012) argues, strategic foresight should no longer be viewed as an exercise in predicting the future with certainty but as a continuous learning process that enables organizations to detect emerging opportunities and threats and respond more effectively. Likewise, Nobari et al. (2022) emphasize that organizations facing uncertain environments require new forms of intelligence capable of transforming dispersed information into actionable knowledge, allowing managers to move beyond prediction toward adaptive and resilient decision processes. The growing complexity of industrial environments has consequently transformed the role of decision support systems from simple computational tools into intelligent cognitive infrastructures. Earlier generations of Decision Support Systems (DSS) primarily focused on structured optimization problems using deterministic mathematical models. However, modern industrial environments require decision architectures capable of processing heterogeneous data, learning from dynamic environments, integrating expert knowledge, and continuously adapting to unforeseen events. The convergence of Operations Research (OR), Artificial Intelligence (AI), machine learning, Internet of Things (IoT), digital twins, and advanced analytics has significantly expanded the capabilities of contemporary decision support systems. Rather than simply recommending optimal solutions, intelligent decision systems are increasingly expected to evaluate multiple scenarios, quantify uncertainty, explain recommendations, and support collaborative human judgment. Subrahmanyam and Beainy (2027) argue that modern DSS has evolved into an intelligent ecosystem integrating AI, stochastic modeling, fuzzy reasoning, and Industry 4.0 technologies to improve organizational resilience under disruption. Similarly, Marques et al. (2017) demonstrate that decentralized decision support has become indispensable in smart manufacturing environments, where decisions must be distributed across strategic, tactical, operational, and real-time levels to accommodate the complexity of Industry 4.0 production systems. This evolution has given rise to the emerging paradigm of Decision Intelligence (DI), a concept that extends far beyond conventional business analytics or artificial intelligence. Decision Intelligence represents an interdisciplinary framework that combines data science, operations research, behavioral sciences, systems thinking, and artificial intelligence to improve the quality, transparency, and adaptability of managerial decisions. Unlike traditional analytical approaches that primarily focus on prediction, Decision Intelligence emphasizes the complete decision lifecycle—from sensing environmental signals and generating alternatives to evaluating consequences, learning from outcomes, and continuously improving organizational knowledge. Gupta et al. (2022) highlight that the integration of AI with Operations Research fundamentally changes the role of decision support by introducing learning capabilities, predictive intelligence, and adaptive optimization into managerial processes. Likewise, Chan and Ding (2023) argue that industrial intelligence is reshaping production and operations management by embedding machine learning, industrial AI, and intelligent analytics into operational decision-making, enabling organizations to move from reactive management toward proactive and autonomous decision systems. Consequently, industrial intelligence is no longer measured by the amount of available data but by the organization's ability to transform information into consistently superior decisions. Another defining characteristic of Decision Intelligence is its capacity to manage uncertainty rather than eliminate it. Contemporary industrial systems rarely operate under conditions where complete information or deterministic assumptions exist. Instead, managers increasingly rely on probabilistic reasoning, fuzzy logic, Bayesian inference, simulation, and hybrid AI models to evaluate competing alternatives under ambiguous conditions. These approaches recognize that uncertainty is inherent in industrial systems and therefore should be incorporated into decision architectures rather than treated as a modeling limitation. Martínez-Vivar et al. (2026), for example, propose a fuzzy logic–based theoretical framework that enhances transparency, robustness, and scalability by integrating contextual variables, expert judgment, and explainable inference mechanisms into organizational decision systems. Mohanty et al. (2025) similarly identify fuzzy logic as one of the most effective foundations for industrial intelligence because of its ability to accommodate ambiguity while supporting intelligent automation. Recent developments further extend these capabilities through Bayesian learning and neuromorphic intelligence. Tasleem et al. (2026) demonstrate how Bayesian machine learning enables uncertainty-aware strategic investment decisions by explicitly incorporating probabilistic reasoning into managerial decision processes, while Nozari (2026) illustrates how neuromorphic computing integrated with fuzzy multi-objective optimization significantly improves adaptive decision-making within resilient and environmentally sustainable supply chains. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| Decision Intelligence | ||
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آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 33 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 43 |
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