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ارزیابی ریسک محیطزیستی سد گتوند علیا در مرحلۀ بهرهبرداری با استفاده از روش تلفیقی آنالیز مقدماتی خطر و تکنیک EFMEA
|مقاله 9، دوره 40، شماره 1، اردیبهشت 1393، صفحه 107-120 اصل مقاله (549.5 K)|
|نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی|
|شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jes.2014.50160|
|سید علی جوزی* 1؛ سیده حمیده سیف السادات2|
|1دانشیار گروه محیطزیست، دانشکدۀ فنی و مهندسی، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد تهران شمال|
|2کارشناس ارشد رشتۀ علوم محیطزیست، ارزیابی و آمایش سرزمین، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات خوزستان|
|سد گتوند علیا یکی از طرحهای بزرگ عمرانی کشور است که در استان خوزستان و روی رودخانۀ کارون بین مسجد سلیمان و سد تنظیمی گتوند در کیلومتر 8/382 از مصب رودخانۀ کارون و در 25 کیلومتری شمال شهرستان شوشتر احداث شده است. این تحقیق به منظور شناسایی و ارزیابی ریسک سد گتوند علیا در فاز بهرهبرداری به انجام رسید. در این مطالعه پس از شناسایی فعالیتهای سد در فاز بهرهبرداری به منظور شناسایی عوامل ریسک از روش آنالیز مقدماتی خطر موسوم به PHA استفاده شد و ریسکهای بهدستآمده در قالب 5 دستۀ ریسکهای فیزیکی- شیمیایی، بیولوژیکی، اقتصادی- اجتماعی و فرهنگی، ریسکهای ایمنی- بهداشتی و طبیعی طبقهبندی شدند. در این مرحله پس از شناسایی ریسکها عوامل مولد ریسک به کمک روش EFMEA ارزیابی شدند. در این تحقیق برای اولویتبندی عوامل ریسک از نرمافزار SPSS استفاده شد و ریسکها بر اساس شدت اثر، احتمال وقوع و گسترۀ آلودگی اولویتبندی شدند. نتایج این مطالعه نشان میدهند که در تکنیک EFMEA شورشدن آب به علت گنبد نمکی و در اثر فعالیت آبگیری مخزن، فرسایش و رسوب در پاییندست سد به علت تأمین منابع قرضه و ایجاد پساب و فاضلاب انسانی به علت فعالیت توریسم دارای سطح ریسک بالا و به ترتیب با عدد اولویت ریسک (RPN) 320، 288 و 256، بهمنزلۀ رتبههای اول تا سوم معرفی شدند و کمترین عدد اولویت ریسک مربوط ایجاد محیط مناسب برای رشد و تکثیر حشرات (امکان تکثیر پشۀ آنوفل) به علت آبگیری مخزن سد و فشردهشدن خاک به علت توسعۀ کشاورزی و تردد ماشینآلات سنگین با عدد اولویت ریسک 90 معرفی شد.|
|ارزیابی ریسک محیطزیستی؛ سد گتوند علیا خوزستان؛ سد مخزنی؛ روش EFMEA؛ روش PHA؛ فاز بهرهبرداری|
|عنوان مقاله [English]|
|Environmental Risk Assessment of Gotvand-Olia Dam at Operational Phase Using the Integrated Method of Environmental Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (EFMEA) and Preliminary Hazard Analysis|
|Seyed Ali Jozi1؛ Seyedeh Hamideh Seifossadat2|
|1Associate Professor, Department of Environment, Faculty of Technical and Engineering, Islamic Azad University, North Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran|
|2Department of Environment, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch-Khuzestan, Ahwaz, Iran|
Gotvand-Olia as one of the largest constructional projects in Iran has been constructed on the Karoun River, between Masjed Soleiman and Gotvand Regulatory dam in Khuzestan Province. It is situated in 382.8 km away from the river estuary at a distance of 25 km north of Shoushtar city. This study was conducted to identify and assess the risk of Gotvand-Olia dam on the environment at the operational phase. As a part of the management of water resources, the dam is one of the most important structures playing a major role in the regulation of surface flows, especially in the areas that have poor spatial and temporal distribution of rainfalls. Due to developments in dam construction in the world and particularly in Iran, the need to assess the environmental impacts of dams is very important. Environmental risk assessment is able to establish a relationship between the impacts of unwanted events with those that are not catastrophic. The quantitative risk assessment provides evident objectivity and transparency in the assessment of the impacts.
Material and methods
The current study aims at assessing the risk of Gotvand-Olia dam at the operational phase. Accordingly, after reviewing the relevant literatures, field studies, and interviewing with expertise and research team, a questionnaire was designed to identify the potential risks during the operational phase. According to the studies conducted in the field of dam risks in the world and particularly in Iran as well as the technical and environmental reports on the Gotvand-Olia dam, the risk factors of the operational period were identified at first using the checklist of the PHA Method and were then assessed by EFMEA. In FMEA, techniques to obtain have degrees of severity, probability, and extent of contamination. After obtaining, the three number can be calculated through the formula Risk Priority Number (RPN)= Severity of risk × Event Risk × Extent of contamination. Subsequently, a list of potential risk factors at the operational phase was included in the questionnaire and placed at disposal of the individuals who were expert on dam and environment. Afterwards, considering the current situation of the study area, overall risk options at the operational phase (21 cases) were classified in the form of physicochemical, biological, socioeconomic, cultural, health-safety, and natural hazards using the PHA checklist. To make a decision on acceptance or rejection of risks, statistical methods were applied to prioritize risk factors and specify their hazardous level due to lack of prioritization of the risks in EFMEA. Accordingly, the high-level risks were identified.
The study implementation of the risk assessment of the Gotvand-oila was shown in the flow chart 1.
2. Risk screening by the PHA check list
.Identification for Risks at the operational phase of the Gotvand-oila dam
3. Risk assessment by the EFMEA method
4. To analyze the risk level using SPSS software
5. Determine risks of the level risk to provide risk control measures
Figure 1. Study implementation of the risk assessment of the Gotvand-oila
Results and discussion
According to the identified risks, it can be concluded that reservoir inundation, extraction of borrow materials, transportation of vehicles and machineries, recreation and tourism as well as construction of infrastructure facilities are hazardous activities at the operational phase.
The risks at the operational phase of the Gotvand-oila by the FMEA method were shown in Table 1.
Table 1. Risks at the operational phase of the Gotvand-oila by the FMEA method
RISK Prior Number
Water salinization due to salt dome
Erosion & sedimentation in downstream of the dam
Generation of waste water and effluent by tourism & recreation
Generation of solid waste by tourism & recreation
Generation of waste water and in infrastructures
Generation of solid waste and industrial waste in infrastructures
The obtained results suggest that the highest RPN equal to 320 belongs to water salinization occurred due to the existence of salt domes. While borrowing materials, the highest RPN (tantamount to 288) is belonged to erosion and sediment. The risk level is high. In transportation using vehicles and machineries, the highest RPN (equal to 216) is allocated to the vehicle exhaust emissions. The risk level is moderate. Among tourism and recreational activities, the highest RPNs were assigned to the generation of wastewater and effluent as well as solid waste, both with the same RPN of 256. The risk level is high. Amongst activities related to the construction of infrastructures, the highest RPN (256) belongs to the generation of industrial wastewater and effluent. The risk level is high. A total number of 19 environmental risks were assessed and weighted by the EFMEA. Afterwards, they were analyzed by SPSS Software. Accordingly, upper and lower risk limits were determined 237.8 and 116, respectively. Majority of the risks identified at the operational phase of the Gotvand-Olia dam can be classified in medium-level category which devoted itself to 58% of the whole. In this respect, the low (L) and high (H) level risk categories comprising 10% and 32% of total risks, respectively, have the lowest share.
The highest RPN (320) belongs to water salinization occurred due to the dam inundation while the lowest RPN (90) is related to providing an appropriate environment for growth and reproduction of insects (Anopheles) as well as soil compacting as a result of the agricultural development and the transportation of heavy machineries. The activity of Gachsaran formation leads to the depletion of soil impregnated with salt to the river that its impacts can be characterized in terms of salinity, total dissolved solids (TDS), total suspended solids (TSS), and electrical conductivity (EC). Given the importance of such a formation at the reservoir margins, the changes in the quality of river water at the operational phase can be justified. In this study, it is quite necessary to pay enough attention to the discharge of the Karoun River as well as regional droughts. It is also necessary to consider a suitable place to dump soils containing salts extracted from upstream of the dam. In a second evaluation after the implementation of control and corrective measures, the highest risk of erosion and sedimentation downstream of the dam removal borrow materials (RPN= 168, a moderate risk level (M)) and the lowest risk is related to the oil spill equipment and the use of vehicles and machinery transporting operations (RPN=36, with a low risk level (L)).
Implementation of control and corrective measures of risks at the operational phase of Gotvand-oila was shown in Tabel 2.
Table 2. Implementation of control and corrective measures of risks at the operational phase of the Gotvand-oila
Estimation assessment ecologic risk by attention to the environment impacts of Gachsaran formation.
Water salinization due to salt dome
Daily performance testing of water river quality.
Daily sampling and monitoring of water river quality.
Simulation erosion and salinization in the reservoir dam zone and precaution long time impacts.
Erosion & sedimentation in downstream of the dam by removal borrow materials
Program codification for clearing and correction borrow materials excavated in the Imam ZadeZaid zone.
Program codification for green space development in the site.
|EFMEA, Gotvand-Olia dam, environmental risk assessment, Khuzestan Province, operational phase, PHA, Reservoir Dam, risk, Risk Prioritization|
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