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Using fuzzy FMEA and fuzzy logic in project risk management | ||
Interdisciplinary Journal of Management Studies (Formerly known as Iranian Journal of Management Studies) | ||
مقاله 4، دوره 8، شماره 3، مهر 2015، صفحه 373-395 اصل مقاله (164.2 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: Research Paper | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijms.2015.53634 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
Emad Roghanian1؛ Fatemeh Mojibian* 2 | ||
1Faculty of Industrial Engineering, K.N Toosi University of Technology | ||
2Faculty of Management and Economics, Tarbiat Modares University | ||
چکیده | ||
Risk management is one of the most important phases of project management and is the most recently used by many researchers. In this paper, a fuzzy based method was proposed which identifies different kinds of risks through the project life cycle. Then, the project risk magnitude can be obtained in regards to five factors, namely “severity”, “occurrence”, and “not detection” which form fuzzy FMEA and also two other factors namely project phase weights and risks weights. These two factors in addition to risk priority number (RPN) factors can lead to the application of better risk management. Based on the project risk magnitude, the appropriate risk response should be selected. The proposed model covers three parts of risk management process: 1. Risk identification, 2. Quantitative risk analysis and 3. Risk response planning. Finally, this model was applied by a numerical example, and project risk magnitude was calculated for an assumed company, to verify the proposed method. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
Analytical Hierarchy Process؛ Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA)؛ Fuzzy Rules؛ Project Risk Management | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
استفاده از FMEA و منطق فازی در مدیریت ریسک پروژه | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
عماد روغنیان1؛ فاطمه مجیبیان2 | ||
1دانشکده مهندسی صنایع ، دانشگاه خواجه نصیر طوسی | ||
2دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
مدیریت ریسک یکی از مهمترین فازهای مدیریت پروژه است که توجه بسیاری از محققان را به خود جلب کرده است. در این مقاله مدل فازیای ارائه میشود که انواع مختلف ریسک را در دورة عمر پروژه شناسایی میکند. سپس، مقدار ریسک پروژه با پنج عامل شامل شدت، وقوع و تشخیص، که FMEA را شکل میدهند، و دو عامل اوزان فازهای پروژه و اوزان ریسکها بهدست میآید، به طوری که این دو عامل به همراه عوامل RNP منجر به مدیریت بهتر ریسک میشود. بر اساس مقدار ریسک پروژه، پاسخگوی مناسب ریسک انتخاب میشود. در واقع، مدل پیشنهادی سه بخش از فرایند ریسک را پوشش میدهد: تشخیص ریسک، تجزیه و تحلیل کمّی ریسک و برنامهریزی برای پاسخگویی به ریسک. در پایان مدل پیشنهادی در ساختار شرکت فرضی الف به کار گرفته میشود. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
تجزیه و تحلیل عوامل شکست و آثار آن (FMEA), فرایند تجزیه و تحلیل سلسله مراتبی (AHP), قواعد فازی, مدیریت ریسک پروژه | ||
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