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عوامل بیرونی مؤثر بر نظام ترویج کشاورزی ایران تا افق 1404 شمسی | ||
| تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران | ||
| مقاله 16، دوره 46، شماره 1، فروردین 1394، صفحه 157-166 اصل مقاله (414.6 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijaedr.2015.54488 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| سعید فعلی* 1؛ غلام‌رضا پزشکی راد2؛ حسن صدیقی2؛ اسماعیل شهبازی3؛ سید جواد قریشی ابهری4 | ||
| 1دانشجوی دکتری ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی دانشگاه تربیت مدرس | ||
| 2دانشیار دانشکدة کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس | ||
| 3استاد دانشگاه شهید بهشتی | ||
| 4معاون ترویج و آموزش سازمان تات | ||
| چکیده | ||
| هدف کلی این تحقیق، شناسایی عوامل بیرونی مؤثر بر نظام ترویج کشاورزی ایران تا افق سال 1404 شمسی با استفاده از آرای صاحبنظران این حوزه است. طراحی این پژوهش کیفی با استفاده از تکنیک دلفای (Delphi Technique) برای دستیابی به توافق گروهی صورت گرفت. جامعة آماری این تحقیق تمام سیاستگذاران نظام ترویج کشاورزی کشور هستند که با استفاده از روش نمونهگیری هدفمند، بیست نفر از آن‌ها برای پاسخگویی به پرسش اصلی تحقیق انتخاب شدند. روایی پرسشنامه‌ها نیز توسط پانلی از متخصصان بررسی و تأیید شد. نتایج تحقیق نشان داد پاسخگویان احتمال وقوع شانزده عامل بیرونی مؤثر بر نظام ترویج کشاورزی ایران را تا افق سال 1404 شمسی در سطح «متوسط تا زیاد» بیان کردند که اجماع و توافق گروهی در احتمال وقوع پانزده عامل بین پاسخگویان بهدست آمد. این عوامل به‌ترتیب، در هفت دستة زیرساختی، بومشناسی، اقتصادی، فرهنگی، نهادی، انقلابهای علمی و فناوری و جمعیتی طبقهبندی شدند. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| ایران؛ تکنیک دلفای؛ عوامل مؤثر؛ نظام ترویج کشاورزی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| External factors affecting the Iranian Agricultural Extension System (IAES) by 2025 | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Saeid Feali1؛ Gholamreza Pezeshki Rad2؛ Hasan Sedighi2؛ Esmaeil Shahbazi3؛ Seyed Javad Ghoreish Abhari4 | ||
| 1PhD. Candidate, Agricultural Extension and Education, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 2Associate Professors, Agricultural Extension and Education, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran | ||
| 3Professor, Shahid Beheshti University, Iran | ||
| 4Deputy of Extension and Education Organization, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| The purpose of this study was to identify external factors affecting the Iranian Agricultural Extension System (IAES) by 2025 using agricultural extension authorities’ viewpoints. Results of this qualitative study were obtained by using a modified Delphi technique to reach group consensus. The target population was 20 policy makers that selected by judgment sampling. It is noted that the validity of questionnaire was confirmed by panel of experts. Results of study indicated the probability of occurring sixteen external factors affecting IAES by 2025 was at “moderate to high” level that consensus was reached on fourteen external factors affecting IAES. These factors, respectively, in seven categories of "infrastructure, ecology, economic, cultural, institutional, scientific and technological revolution and the population" were reduced. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| agricultural extension system, Delphi technique, Effective Factors, Iran | ||
| مراجع | ||
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