تعداد نشریات | 161 |
تعداد شمارهها | 6,498 |
تعداد مقالات | 70,231 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 123,438,333 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 96,661,920 |
Dynamics and Thermodynamics Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Haiyan | ||
فیزیک زمین و فضا | ||
مقاله 2، دوره 42، شماره 4، دی 1395، صفحه 13-26 اصل مقاله (2.2 M) | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jesphys.2016.58887 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
نفیسه پگاه فر* ؛ پروین غفاریان | ||
پژوهشگاه ملی اقیانوس شناسی و علوم جوی | ||
چکیده | ||
Tropical cyclone Haiyan (TCH) that formed over the West Pacific Ocean during 3-11 November 2013 has been investigated using three datasets produced by Japan Meteorology Agency, ECMWF and NCEP. Strength of TCH has been studied using two synoptic parameters of 10-m wind velocity and mean sea level pressure (MSLP). Following, three dynamic parameters including vertical wind shear (VWSH) vector, helicity and potential vorticity (PV) together with the thermodynamic parameter of convective available potential energy (CAPE) have been calculated and analyzed during TCH life cycle. VWSH vector was analyzed in three classes of weak, moderate and strong shear, having northeasterly direction for the most of TCH lifetime. Moreover, the helicity parameter was intensified to the tornadic instability (at about 6 hours later than the time of maximum 10-m wind speed), and its anomaly was located in the downshear quadrants for the most of TCH life span. In addition, no significant PV anomaly was detected near TCH, but a subtropical PV anomaly was extended to the Philippines Islands before TCH eye reached this region. Also, CAPE parameter was intensified to the strong instability class at about 48 hours earlier than the time of maximum 10-m wind speed and its anomaly was equally displaced in both up- and downshear quadrants. Finally, it can be concluded that 30-hourly lag between the time of CAPE maximum value and VWSH one let TCH to be intensified to category 5. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
Tropical Cyclone Haiyan؛ CAPE؛ Helicity؛ Potential vorticity؛ Vertical Wind Shear Vector | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
Dynamics and Thermodynamics Analysis | ||
مراجع | ||
Angell, J. K., Pack, D. H. and Dikson, C. R., 1968, A Lagrangian study of helical circulation in the planetary boundary layer, J. of Atmos. Sci., 24(5), 707-717.
Anthes, R. A. and Chang, S. W., 1978, Response of the hurricane boundary layer to changes of sea surface temperature in a numerical model, J. Atmos. Sci., 35, 1240-1255.
Barry, R. G. and Carleton, A. M., 2001, Synoptic and dynamic climatology, Psychology Press.
Betchov, R., 1961, Semi-isotropic turbulence and helicoidal flows, Phys. Fluids, 4, pages 925.
Camargo, S. J. and Sobel, A. H., 2004, Formation of tropical storms in an atmospheric general circulation model, Tellus, 56(A), 56-67.
Chan, J. C. L. and Liu, K. S., 2004, Global warming and western North Pacific typhoon activity from an observational perspective, J. Climate, 17(23), 4590-4602.
Chen, S. S., Knaff, J. A. and Marks Jr. F. D., 2006, Effects of vertical wind shear and storm motion on tropical cyclone rainfall asymmetries deduced from TRMM, Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3190-3208.
Chen, G. H., 2009, Inter decadal variation of tropical cyclone activity in association with summer monsoon, sea surface temperature over the western North Pacific, Chinese Science Bulletin, 54(8), 1417-1421.
Corbosiero, K. L. and Molinari, J., 2002, The effects of vertical wind shear on the distribution of convection in tropical cyclones, Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2110-2123.
Corbosiero, K. L. and Molinari, J., 2003, The relationship between storm motion, vertical wind shear, and convective asymmetries in tropical cyclones, J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 366-376.
Davies, J. M., 2006, Tornadoes in environments with small helicity and/or high LCL heights, Weather and forecasting, 21(4), 579-594.
DeMaria, M. and Kaplan, J., 1994, Sea surface temperature and the maximum intensity of Atlantic tropical cyclones, J. Climate, 7, 1324-1334.
DeMaria, M., 1996, The effect of vertical shear on tropical cyclone intensity change, J. Atmos. Sci., 53, 2076-2087.
Droegemeier, K. K., Lazarus, S. M. and Davies-Jones, R., 1993, The influence of helicity on numerically simulated convective storms, Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 2005-2029.
Emanuel, K., 2005, Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years, Nature, 436(7051), 686-688.
Ertel, H., 1942, Ein neuer hydrodynamischer wirbelsatz, Meteor, Z., 59, 271-281.
Fan, K., 2007a, New predictors and a new prediction model for the typhoon frequency over western North Pacific, Science in China (D), 50(9), 1417-1423.
Fan, K., 2007b, North Pacific sea ice cover, a predictor for the western North Pacific typhoon frequency? Science in China (D), 50(8), 1251-1257.
Frank, W. M. and Ritchie, E. A., 1999, Effects of environmental flow upon tropical cyclone structure, Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 2044-2061.
Frank, W. M. and Ritchie, E. A., 2001, Effects of vertical wind shear on hurricane intensity and structure, Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2249-2269.
Gray, W. M., 1968, Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms, Mon. Wea. Rev., 96, 669-700.
Hanley, D. E., Molinari, J. and Keyser, D., 2001, A composite study of the interactions between tropical cyclones and upper tropospheric troughs, Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2570-2584.
Jones, D. R. P., Burgess, D. and Foster, M., 1990, Test of helicity as a tornado forecast parameter, Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kanaskis, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 588-592.
Jones, S. C., 1995, The evolution of vortices in vertical shear: I: Initially barotropic vortices, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 121, 821-851.
Jones, S. C., 2000, The evolution of vortices in vertical shear: III: Baroclinic vortices, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 126, 3161-3185.
Khansalari, S., Farahani, M. M. and Azadi, M., 2011, A study of helicity and helicity flux in the Gonu tropical storm, Iranian Geophysical Society, 5(2),97-115.
Kurgansky, M. V., 2008, Vertical helicity flux in atmospheric vortices as a measure of their intensity, Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceans Physics, 44, 67-74.
Lajoie F. and Walsh K., 2010, Diagnostic study of the intensity of three tropical cyclones in the Australian Region. Part I: A Synopsis of Observed Features of Tropical Cyclone Kathy (1984), Monthly Weather Review, 138, 3-21.
Lee, W. C. and Wurman, J., 2005, Diagnosed three-dimensional axisymmetric structure of the Mulhall tornado on 3 May 1999, J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 2373-2393.
Lilly, D. K., 1986, The structure, energetic, and propagation of rotating convective storms. Part II: Helicity and storm stabilization, J. Atmos. Sci., 43, 126-140.
McBride, J. L. and Zehr, R., 1981, Observational analysis of tropical cyclone formation, Part II: Comparison of nondeveloping versus developing systems, J. Atmos. Sci., 38, 1132-1151.
Molinari, J. and Vollaro, D., 2008, Extreme helicity and intense convective towers in Hurricane Bonnie, Monthly Weather Review, 136(11), 4355-4372.
Molinari, J. and Vollaro, D., 2010, Rapid intensification of a sheared tropical storm, Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 3869-3885.
Molinari, J., Romps, D. M., Vollaro, D., and Nguyen, L., 2012, CAPE in tropical cyclones, J. Atmos. Sci., 69(8), 2452-2463.
Nolan, D. and M. McGauley, 2012, Tropical cyclogenesis in wind shear: climatological relationships and physical processes. cyclones: formation, triggers, and control, K. Oouchi and H. Fudeyasu, Eds., Nova Science, in press.
Ramalingeswara Rao, S., Muni Krishna, K. and Bhanu Kumar, O. S. R. U., 2009, Study of tropical cyclone "Fanoos" using MM5 model–a case study, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 9(1), 43-51.
Rasmussen, E. N. and Blanchard, D. O., 1998, A baseline climatology of sounding-derived supercell and tornado forecast parameters, Wea. Forecasting, 13, 1148-1164.
Raymond, D. J., 1992, Nonlinear balance and potential vorticity thinking at large Rossby number, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 118, 987-1015.
Riehl, R. J., 1948, On the formation of typhoons, J. Meteor., 5, 247-264.
Rossby, C. G., 1940, Planetary flow patterns in the atmosphere, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 66, 68-87.
Shepherd, J. and Knutson, T., 2007, The current debate on the linkage between global warming and hurricanes, Geography Compass, 1(1), 1-24.
Stevenson, S. N., Corbosiero, K. L. and Molinari, J., 2014, The convective evolution and rapid intensification of hurricane Earl (2010), Monthly Weather Review, 12, 4364-4380.
Thompson, R. L., Mead, C. M. and Edwards, R., 2007, Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments, Weather and forecasting, 22(1), 102-115.
Titley, D. W. and Elsberry, R. L., 2000, Large intensity changes in tropical cyclones: a case study of super typhoon Flo during TCM-90, Mon. Wea. Rev., 128, 3556-3573.
Webster, P. J., Holland, G. J., Curry, J. A. and Chang, H. R., 2005, Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment, Science, 309(5742), 1844-1846.
Weisman, M. L. and Rotunno, R., 2000, The use of vertical wind shear versus helicity in interpreting supercell dynamics, J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 1452-1472.
Zhou, B. T. and Cui, X., 2008, Hadley circulation signal in the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific, J. Geophys. Res., 113, 1984-2012
| ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 1,729 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 1,199 |