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کاربرد الگوریتم فراابتکاری بهینه‌سازی کلونی مورچه در تخصیص بهینۀ منابع آب چاه نیمۀ سیستان تحت سناریوهای مدیریتی | ||
| اکوهیدرولوژی | ||
| مقاله 2، دوره 5، شماره 4، دی 1397، صفحه 1063-1078 اصل مقاله (899.73 K) | ||
| نوع مقاله: پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ije.2017.244397.764 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| جواد شهرکی* 1؛ علی سردارشهرکی2؛ صفیه نوری3 | ||
| 1دانشیار علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان | ||
| 2استادیار اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان | ||
| 3کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان | ||
| چکیده | ||
| هدف از پژوهش حاضر، تخصیص بهینۀ منابع آب مخازن چاه نیمۀ سیستان تحت سه سناریوی مدیریتی با استفاده از تکنیک فراابتکاری جامعۀ مورچگان است. نتایج تحقیق نشان می‌دهد بهترین مقدار تابع هدف (حداکثرسازی میزان تأمین آب) با استفاده از الگوریتم یادشده 5/82 میلیون مترمکعب بوده است. همچنین، در سال‌های اولیه مقدار رهاسازی بهینۀ الگوریتم مورچگان 21 و میزان تقاضا 3/98 میلیون مترمکعب به دست آمده که به مقدار 3/77 میلیون مترمکعب عدم تأمین نیاز وجود داشته است. عملکرد الگوریتم مورچه در سناریوی خط لولۀ دوم آب شرب به زاهدان به تابع هدف بهینه نزدیک‌تر شده است. بر اساس نتایج به‌دست‌آمده، میانگین مقادیر تابع هدف در سناریوی تثبیت ریزگردها 0593/100 بود، از این رو پس از مدتی رهاسازی برای بخش کشاورزی دیگر امکان‌پذیر نخواهد بود. نتایج سناریوی توسعۀ سطح زیر کشت بر اساس افق 1404 نشان داد تقاضا در ابتدای دوره کم است و به‌تدریج با توسعۀ کشاورزی در منطقه، میزان تقاضا افزایش مییابد. از این رو، پیشنهاد میشود با گسترش حقابۀ ایران از افغانستان، بتوان مشکلات و خشکسالی‌های چند دهۀ اخیر را برطرف کرد. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| الگوریتم‌های فراابتکاری مورچگان؛ بهینه‌سازی؛ سناریوهای مدیریتی؛ سیستان؛ مخازن چاه نیمه | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Application of Met heuristic Algorithm of Ant Colony Optimization in Optimal Allocation of Water Resources of Chah-Nime of Sistan under Managerial Scenarios | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Javad Shahraki1؛ Ali Sardar Shahraki2؛ Safiyeh Nouri3 | ||
| 1Associate Professor of Economic Sciences, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Iran | ||
| 2Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Iran | ||
| 3MSC of Agricultural Economics, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| The aim of this study is to optimize the allocation of water resources in Chah-nimeh Sistan reservoirs under three management scenarios using the metamorphic techniques of the Ant Community. The results of the research show that the best value of the objective function (maximizing water supply) was 5.82 million cubic meters using the algorithm. Also, in the early years, the optimum release rate of ant anchor algorithm 21 and the demand was 3.98 million cubic meters that there were 3.77 million cubic meters of lack of supply. The function of Ant's algorithm is closer to the optimal objective function in the second pipeline scenario for drinking water in Zahedan. According to the final results, the average values of the objective function were 100.0593 in the scenario of fixing the microspheres, hence, the release from agricultural sector, after a while, would not be possible. The results of development scenario of area under cultivation based on Horizon 1404 indicate that demand was low at the beginning of the period and it gradually increased with agricultural development in the region. Therefore, it has been suggested that it will be possible to overcome the recent difficulties and droughts with the extension of Iran's right of Afghanistan | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Optimization, Ant-Meta-Heuristic Algorithms, Management Scenarios, Chah-Nime Reservoirs, Sistan | ||
| مراجع | ||
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