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Nikravesh, S., Yazdani, S., Yavari, G., Kazemnejad, M. (2018). The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on Agricultural Trade. , 49(4), 573-586. doi: 10.22059/ijaedr.2018.261169.668622
Sepideh Nikravesh; Saeid Yazdani; Gholamreza Yavari; Mehdi Kazemnejad. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on Agricultural Trade". , 49, 4, 2018, 573-586. doi: 10.22059/ijaedr.2018.261169.668622
Nikravesh, S., Yazdani, S., Yavari, G., Kazemnejad, M. (2018). 'The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on Agricultural Trade', , 49(4), pp. 573-586. doi: 10.22059/ijaedr.2018.261169.668622
Nikravesh, S., Yazdani, S., Yavari, G., Kazemnejad, M. The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on Agricultural Trade. , 2018; 49(4): 573-586. doi: 10.22059/ijaedr.2018.261169.668622

The Impact of Macroeconomic Shocks on Agricultural Trade

تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران
Article 2, Volume 49, Issue 4, November 2018, Pages 573-586    PDF (784.44 K)
Document Type: Research Paper
DOI: 10.22059/ijaedr.2018.261169.668622
Authors
Sepideh Nikravesh1; Saeid Yazdani* 2; Gholamreza Yavari3; Mehdi Kazemnejad4
1PhD. Student Department of Agricultural Economics , Payame Noor University, Tehran, Iran
2Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics and Development, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran
3Assistant Professor, Department of Agriculture, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran
4Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics, Ministry of Agriculture, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
The majority of countries in order to develop their international trade and achieve a higher share in the world market, are adopting different trade policies with taking into account the effects of factors affecting on agricultural trade. The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of macroeconomics factors affecting on agricultural trade using a vector autoregressive model for years 1982 to 2016. The results indicate that a shock on variables such as agricultural value added and investment in agricultural sector have positive effects on agricultural trade. While exchange rate, terms of trade and tariff have negative impacts. The results also show that the short term impact of the study variables is significantly high but it is gradually reducing over time and in long term it becomes very low. According to the results obtained from the analysis of variance, in the long term, the shock from trade, value added, investment, exchange rate, terms of trade and tariff rate have 76.7%, 3%, 8.1%, 5.4%, 5.5% and 1.2% impact on agricultural trade respectively .
Keywords
trade; Value Added; Investment; Exchange rate; Tariff
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Iranian Jurnal of Agricultural Economics and Development Research, 43(2), 165-174.(In Farsi)  

Zamani, F., & Mehrabi Boshrabadi, H. (2014). The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Agricultural Trade in Iran. Jurnal of Agricultural Economics Research, 6(22), 13-28.(In Farsi)

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