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تأثیر دیدگاه زمانی کشاورزان بر رفتار مدیریت ریسک خشکسالی آنان در حوضه پایاب سد کرخه | ||
تحقیقات اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی ایران | ||
مقاله 9، دوره 51، شماره 1، فروردین 1399، صفحه 133-148 اصل مقاله (1.08 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijaedr.2019.284604.668783 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
مریم نیسی1؛ مسعود بیژنی* 2؛ عنایت عباسی3؛ حسین محمودی4 | ||
1دانشآموخته کارشناسیارشد ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس،تهران، ایران | ||
2دانشیار گروه ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران | ||
3دانشیار، گروه ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران | ||
4استادیار، گروه اگرواکولوژی، پژوهشکده علوم محیطی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
هدف این مطالعه، واکاوی تأثیر دیدگاه زمانی کشاورزان بر رفتار مدیریت ریسک خشکسالی در حوضه پایاب سد کرخه بود. این پژوهش از نوع پژوهشهای توصیفی ـ همبستگی و علّی ـ مقایسهای است که با استفاده از یک پیمایش انجام گرفت. جامعه آماری مورد مطالعه، کشاورزان عضو تعاونیهای آببران حوضه پایاب سد کرخه در استان خوزستان (3668=N) بودند که 350 نفر از آنها با استفاده از جدول کرجسی و مورگان و روش نمونهگیری تصادفی طبقهای با انتساب متناسب، بهعنوان نمونه، انتخاب شدند. ابزار پژوهش، پرسشنامهای بود که روایی آن توسط پانلی از متخصصان ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی به تأیید رسید و پایایی دسته گویههای آن با استفاده از ضریب آلفای کرنباخ (92/0≤α≤79/0) محقق شد. یافتهها حاکی از آن بود که رفتار مدیریت ریسک کشاورزان در حد متوسطی است و بیشتر کشاورزان دیدگاه زمانی حالنگر دارند. همچنین، از منظر دیدگاه زمانی، بین کشاورزان با دیدگاه گذشتهنگر و سایرین (کشاورزان حالنگر و آیندهنگر) از منظر رفتار مدیریت ریسک خشکسالی تفاوت معنیداری وجود داشت و گروه گذشتهنگر رفتار ضعیفتری در این زمینه از خود بروز دادند. بر این اساس، بهعنوان یک راهبرد سیاستی در برنامهریزیهای مدیریت منابع آب، باید تغییر دیدگاه کشاورزان از گذشتهنگری بهسوی حالنگری و بهویژه آیندهنگری مد نظر قرار گیرد. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
مدیریت آب؛ ریسک؛ خشکسالی؛ دیدگاه زمانی؛ رفتار کشاورزان | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
The Effect of Farmers' Time Perspective on Their Drought Risk Management Behavior in Downstream of Karkheh Dam | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Maryam Neisi1؛ Masoud Bijani2؛ Enayat Abbasi3؛ Hossein Mahmoudi4 | ||
1Former M.Sc. Student of Agricultural Extension and Education, College of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (TMU), Tehran, Iran | ||
2Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Extension and Education, College of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (TMU), Tehran, Iran | ||
3Associate Professor, Department of Agricultural Extension and Education, College of Agriculture, Tarbiat Modares University (TMU), Tehran, Iran | ||
4Assistant Professor of Environmental Sociology, Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of farmers' time perspective on their drought risk management behavior in downstream of Karkheh dam. This research is a descriptive-correlational and ex post facto research that was conducted using a survey. The statistical population was farmes who were members in water user association in downstream of Karkheh dam, Khuzestan province (N=3668) which 350 of them were selected using Karjesi and Morgan table and stratified random sampling method with proportional assignment. The research instrument was a questionnaire whose validity was confirmed by a panel of experts in the field of agricultural extension and education and its reliability was determined using the Cronbach's alpha coefficient (0.79≤α≤0.92). The findings indicated that farmers' risk management behavior is moderate and most farmers have a present-oriented viewpoint. Also, from the viewpoint of time perspective, there is a significant difference between past-orientd farmers and others (present-orinted and future-orinted farmers) from the perspective of drought risk management practices, and the past-orientd group exhibits a weaker behavior in this regard. Accordingly, as a policy strategy in water resource management planning, shift farmers' time perspectives should be considered from past-oriented to present and, in particular, to future perspectives. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
Water management, Risk, Drought, Time perspective, Farmers' behavior | ||
مراجع | ||
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