تعداد نشریات | 161 |
تعداد شمارهها | 6,532 |
تعداد مقالات | 70,504 |
تعداد مشاهده مقاله | 124,122,271 |
تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله | 97,230,070 |
راهبرد چین در قفقاز جنوبی | ||
مطالعات اوراسیای مرکزی | ||
دوره 13، شماره 2، مهر 1399، صفحه 515-542 اصل مقاله (1.01 M) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jcep.2020.289173.449869 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
احسان فلاحی1؛ نوذز شفیعی* 2 | ||
1دانشجوی دکتری روابط بینالملل، دانشگاه اصفهان | ||
2دانشیار علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه اصفهان | ||
چکیده | ||
در جهان کنونی توسعۀ کشورها بدون دسترسی به منابع و بازارهای بینالمللی غیرممکن بهنظر میرسد. نخبگان اجرایی چین با درک این واقعیت در پی بهبود جایگاه اقتصادی و سیاسی خود در مناطق مختلف جهان از جمله قفقاز جنوبی هستند. چینیها برای آسانسازی و سرعتبخشی دسترسی به این هدف، ابتکار یک کمربند و یک راه را در سال 2013 مطرح کردند. اهمیت ابتکار کمربند راه در رفتار منطقهای چین به حدی است که بهنوعی به برند سیاست خارجی این کشور تبدیل شده است. بهطوری که برای ارائۀ تصویری روشن از سیاست منطقهای چین در نواحی مختلف جهان توجه به این طرح ضروری بهنظر میرسد. در این نوشتار میکوشیم با نیم نگاهی به ابتکار کمربند راه، جایگاه قفقاز جنوبی را در راهبرد بلندمدت چین بررسی کنیم و به این پرسش پاسخ دهیم که راهبرد چین در قفقاز جنوبی چیست؟ با ارائۀ چارچوبی نظری از نظریۀ میانمنطقهگرایی، استدلال میکنیم که «چین رویکردی خوشهای در برابر قفقاز جنوبی دارد. بدین معنا که اهمیت قفقاز جنوبی در سیاست خارجی چین در تعامل با کشورهای همسایۀ این منطقه (ایران و ترکیه) و در قالب طرحهای کلانی مانند ابتکار کمربند راه تعریف میشود». به بیان دیگر، قفقاز جنوبی حلقۀ فرعی از زنجیرۀ بههم پیوستۀ سیاست خارجی چین در پهنۀ اوراسیا است. در این نوشتار راهبرد بلندمدت چین در قفقاز جنوبی را با رویکرد توصیفی-تحلیلی و با استفاده از نظریۀ میانمنطقهگرایی بررسی میکنیم. گفتنی است که برای بررسی فرضیه از دادههای کمی و کیفی، جدول، نقشه و نمودار استفاده کردهایم. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
چین؛ سیاست خارجی؛ قفقازجنوبی؛ میانمنطقهگرایی؛ یک کمربند - یک راه | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
Assessment of China’s Strategy in South Caucasus | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Ehsan Fallahi1؛ Nozar Shafiee2 | ||
1Ph.D. Student of International Relations, University of Isfahan | ||
2Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Isfahan | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
China as a rising power tries to boost its position in different regions of the world including Central Asia and the South Caucasus. China has made a grand entry into Central Asia and has a growing presence in the South Caucasus region since 2013 by introducing a comprehensive vision of economic development with its Belt and Road initiative (BRI). This article provides a comprehensive insight into China’s strategy in South Caucasus. In recent years, researchers have become increasingly interested in China’s regional policy. Most of them believe that the essence of China’s “New Regionalism” is its desire for a multipolar world based on the principles of non-interference policy and the formation of supranational and transnational integration groupings to strengthen their economic potentials. China’s attitude to South Caucasus follows the fundamental principle which was mentioned above but“each region has its own unique characteristics” that cause it to become a point of special consideration. For example, South Caucasus is a traditional sphere of Russian influence. So, any changes in the balance of power and political-security developments in the region will have implications for Russia. Therefore, cooperation between the South Countries and regional organizations (i.e. EU and NATO) and trans-regional powers (i.e. USA) will cause Russian reactions. This while South Caucasus countries try to diversify their bilateral and multilateral relations to reduce economic and political dependency on Moscow. Despite the complicated political and security situation in South Caucasus, Chinese authorities have not shown security and political ambitions in this region. They just try to develop regional economic cooperation among China and South Caucasus countries. On the other hand, China has good relations with Iran and Turkey that will facilitate Chinese partnership with the South Caucasus region. The foregoing discussion raises this question: What is china’s strategy in South Caucasus? The PRC has employed a unique “cluster approach” to the Southern Caucasus. The importance of the south Caucasus in Chinese foreign policy is defined by cooperation with neighboring countries (Iran and Turkey) adjacent area and connection to the belt and road initiative. To analyze above-mentioned issues the authors used a research desk method; we used various international publications, like monographs, scientific articles, and statistical data. In this research, the descriptive-analytical method and inter-regionalism theory are applied to address china’s strategy in South Caucasus. The fairly recent phenomenon of inter-regionalism has begun to arouse the interest of scholars and has given rise to a new field of studies in international relations. Given the novelty of the field, it does not come as a surprise that the views which have been offered so far on the nature of inter-regionalism run the gamut from “Much sound and fury about nothing” to “A building block in an emerging multilayered system of global governance”. Although inter-regionalism emphasizes relations from outside. The Belt and Road initiative is known as a brand of Chinese foreign policy. Evaluating Chinese foreign policy in Eurasia without considering BRI cannot be a realistic approach. China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an ambitious program that will connect Asia to Africa and Europe via land and maritime networks along six other corridors to improve regional integration and increase trade and stimulating economic growth. 1. China-Mongolia-Russia Economic Corridor; 2. New Eurasia land bridge economic corridor; 3. China Central Asia-west Asia economic corridor; 4. China-Pakistan economic corridor; 5. Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar economic corridor; 6. China-Indo-china peninsula economic corridor. South Caucasus is the subsidiary land bridge in China-Central Asia Caucasus economic corridor. China has had relatively little geopolitical contact with the region and is thus free of the baggage associated with various regional conflicts. This creates favorable grounds for developing and deepening its relations in the region. China’s interests in the South Caucasus are essentially derived from its wider foreign policy agenda: securing access to new sources of raw materials where possible, creating a stable environment around China’s extended periphery and to some extent opening up new markets for Chinese companies. South Caucasus has served as a subsidiary bridge in BRI. The South Caucasus states themselves generally view China in positive terms, as an increasingly important trading partner and a source of much-needed investment. It seems impossible to achieve the developmental goal without access to resources and the international market in the contemporary World. China by considering the above-mentioned reality tries to improve its place in different regions of the world including the South Caucasus. Given that, this paper will attempt to answer the following question. What is the South Caucasus’s position in China’s long-term strategy? “China has formed a cluster approach toward the south Caucasus which means that south Caucasus importance in Chinese foreign policy defines by interaction with influential countries and a mega project like” the One belt one road initiative”. To analyze the above-mentioned issues, the author used inter-regionalism theory as a conceptual framework. This research was written by using the descriptive-analytical approach. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
China, Foreign Policy, Inter-regionalism, South Caucasus, The Belt and Road Initiative | ||
مراجع | ||
Agenda (2017), “Construction of Anaklia Deep Sea Port Kicks Off”, Available at: https://agenda.ge/en/news/2017/2809, (Accessed on: 15/9/2019).
AIIB (2019), “Members and Prospective Members of the Bank”, Available at: https://www.aiib.org/en/ about-aiib/governance/members-of-bank/index.html, (Accessed on: 19/9/2019).
ARIC (2019), “Free Trade Agreements”, Available at: https://aric.adb.org/fta-country, (Accessed on: 13/9/2019).
Avdaliani, Emil (2017), “China and its Dealings in the South Caucasus, Georgia Today”, Available at: http://georgiatoday.ge/news/7468/China-%26-its-Dealings-in-the-South-Caucasus, (Accessed on: 11/8/2019).
Azertac (2019), “President Ilham Aliyev was Interviewed by Chinese Xinhua Agency”, Available at: https://azertag.az/en/xeber/ President_Ilham_Aliyev_was_interviewed_by_Chinese_Xinhua_agency-1271220, (Accessed on: 10/8/2019).
Babayan, David (2011), “Some Aspects of China’s Policy in the Caucasus”, Central Asia and the Caucasus, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 70-81.
Baghirov, Orkhan (2019), “Azerbaijan and China Sign $800 Million Economic Package: the Geo-Economic Implications”, Eurasia Daily Monitor, Vol. 16, No. 78, pp. 4-6.
Bizhanova, Madina (2018), “Can the Silk Road Revive Agriculture? Kazakhstan’s Challenges in Attaining Economic Diversification”, in: Marlene Laruelle (ed.), China’s Belt and Road Initiative and its Impact in Central Asia, Washington D.C.: George Washington University.
Bora, S. Işık (2018), “China’s Growing Presence in the Caucasus”, Center for Eurasian Studies (AVIM), Available at: https://avim.org.tr/en/ Yorum/CHINA-S-GROWING-PRESENCE-IN-THE-CAUCASUS, (Accessed on: 9/8/ 2019).
CGTN (2019), “China and Armenia Sign Agreement on Exemption of Visas”, China Global Television Network (CGTN), Available at: https://news.cgtn.com/news/3d3d514d324d544f34457a6333566d54/index.html, (Accessed on: 20/9/2019).
Charaia, Vakhtang, Archil Chochia and Mariam Lashkhi (2018), “The Caucasus 3 Plus the Baltic 3 and Economic Cooperation with China”, Baltic Journal of European Studies, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp. 44-64.
Chen, Yueyi (2018), The Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB): a Chinese Perspective, Washington D.C.: Caspian Policy Center.
Godement, François and Agatha Kratz (2015), One Belt, One Road: China’s Great Leap Outward, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR).
Hänggi, Heiner (2000), “Interregionalism: Empirical and Theoretical Perspectives, Paper Prepared for the Workshop, University of St. Gallen, Available at: http://www.cap.uni-muenchen.de/transatlantic/ download/Haenggi.PDF, (Accessed on: 11/9/2019).
Hänggi, Heiner (2006), “Interregionalism as a Multifaceted Phenomenon in Search of a Typology”, in: Heiner Hänggi, Ralf Roloff and Jürgen Rüland (eds.), Interregionalism and International Relations, London and New York: Routledge, pp. 31-62.
Hänggi, Heiner, Ralf Roloff and Jürgen Rüland (2006), “Interregionalism a New Phenomenon in International Relations”, in: Heiner Hänggi, Ralf Roloff and Jürgen Rüland (eds.), Interregionalism and International Relations, London and New York: Routledge.
HKTDC Research (2016), “The Belt and Road Initiative”, Available at: http://china-trade-research.hktdc.com/business-news/article/The-Belt-and-Road-Initiative/The-Belt-and-Road-Initiative/obor/en/1/1X000000/ 1X0A36B7.htm, (Accessed on: 14/9/2019).
Hovhanesian, Hasmik and Heghine Manasyan (2015), “South Caucasus-People’s Republic of China Bilateral Free Trade Agreements: Why it Matters”, ADB Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration, No. 125, Available at: https://news.cgtn.com/news/3d3d674e306b544f34457a6333566d54/index.html, (Accessed on: 12/8/2019).
Huseynov, Vasif (2018), “Use of Soft Power in Tandem with Economic Expansion: Examining the Case of Chinese Soft Power in South Caucasus’, Caucasus International, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp. 77-91.
Inan, Feride and Diana Yayloyan (2018), New Economic Corridors in the South Caucasus and the Chinese One Belt One Road, The Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey (TEPAV).
Ismailov, Eldar (2018), “Caucasian Tandem and the Belt and Road Initiative”, Central Asia and the Caucasus, Vol. 19, No. 2, pp. 7-17.
Ismailzade, Fariz (2016), “The “North-South” Transport Corridor Finally Kicks Off”, The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, Available at: https://www.cacianalyst.org/publications/analytical-articles/item/13395-, (Accessed on: 16/9/2019).
Lehoczki, Bernadett (2015), “Relations between China and Latin America: Inter-regionalism beyond the Triad”, Central and Eastern Europe, Vol. 37, No. 3, pp. 379-402.
Lianlei, Bai (2016), “Azerbaijan in the Silk Road Economic Belt: a Chinese Perspective”, Caucasus International, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 27-39.
MFARA (2017), “Public-Private Partnership Opportunities and Financial Resources Necessary for the Construction of the Southern Armenia Railway Project”, Available at: http://www.sate.gr/nea/Armenia_16012017.pdf, (Accessed on: 16/9/2019).
Miholjcic, Nina (2018), “Trans-Caspian International Transportation Route: a Way to Steadfast Economic Development and Connectivity in the South Caucasus and Central Asia”, Journal of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Azerbaijan, No. 49, pp. 134-140.
MOFCOM (2018) (a), “China-Georgia FTA Comes into Force Today”, Available at: http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/enarticle/enrelease/201801/36884_1.html, (Accessed on: 13/9/2019).
MOFCOM (2018) (b), “China and Eurasian Economic Union Officially Sign Trade and Economic Cooperation Agreement”, Available at: http://english.mofcom.gov.cn/ article/newsrelease/significantnews/201805/20180502746079.shtml, (Accessed on: 13/9/2019).
Ogütçü, Mehmet (2015), “China in the South Caucasus: not a Critical Partnership but Still Needed”, in: The South Caucasus-Between Integration and Fragmentation, European Policy Center.
Poghosyan, Benyamin (2018), “China’s OBOR Initiative: Opportunities for the South Caucasus”, IndraStra Global, Vol. 4, No. 7, pp. 1-5.
Roloff, Ralf (2006), “Interregionalism in Theoretical Perspective State of the Art”, in: Heiner Hänggi, Ralf Roloff and Jürgen Rüland (eds.), Interregionalism and International Relations, London and New York: Routledge.
Sanamyan, Emil (2016), “China in the Caucasus”, The Diplomat, Available at: https://thediplomat.com/2016/02/china-in-the-caucasus/, (Accessed on: 12/8/2019).
Shahbazov, Fuad (2017), “Baku-Beijing Relations and China’s Growing Interest in the South Caucasus”, Eurasia Daily Monitor, Vol. 14, No. 51, pp. 1-4.
Skiertandrzejuk, Katarzyna (2018), “The New Edition of the New Silk Road – the South Caucasus Case”, Polish Journal of Political Science, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp. 79-94.
SOCAR (2018), “SOCAR and China’s BGP Establish Joint Venture on Seismic Exploration”, Available at: http://www.socar.az/socar/en/news-and-media/news-archives/news-archives/id/11254, (Accessed on: 11/8/2019).
Tavsan, Sinan (2017), “Iron Silk Road Threatens to Sidetrack Russia”, Asian Review, Available at: https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Iron-silk-road-threatens-to-sidetrack-Russia, (Accessed on: 9/8/2019).
TITR (2019), “Trans-Caspian International Transport Route”, Middle Corridor, Available at: http://titr.kz/en, (Accessed on: 16/9/2019).
TRACECA (2019) (a), “How TRACECA Started”, Available at: http://www.traceca-org.org/en/traceca/history-of-traceca/, (Accessed on: 15/9/2019).
TRACECA (2019) (b), “The Silk Road of the 21st Century”, Available at: http://www.traceca-org.org/en/home/the-silk-road-of-the-21st-century/, (Accessed on: 15/9/2019).
Tulun, Teoman Ertuğrul (2017), “The Durability of Silk in Mountains of Caucasus: China and Armenia”, AVIM, Available at: https://avim.org.tr/ en/Analiz/THE-DURABILITY-OF-SILK-IN-MOUNTAINS-OF-CAUCASUS-CHINA-AND-ARMENIA, (Accessed on: 18/9/2019).
UN (2019), “Countries Profile”, UN Comtrade Database, Available at: https://comtrade.un.org/data/, (Accessed on: 16/9/2019).
WITS (2018), “Import Partner Share (%)”, Available at: https://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile, (Accessed on: 12/9/2019).
WTO (2019), “Members and Observers”, Available at: https://www.wto.org/ english/thewto_e/whatis_e/tif_e/org6_e.htm#collapse, (Accessed on: 15/9/2019).
Yazdani, Enaytollah and Ehsan Fallahi (2016), “Cooperation in Foreign Policy of Iran and Russia against East-West Axis in South Caucasus”, Central Eurasia Studies, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 411-430 [in Persian]. | ||
آمار تعداد مشاهده مقاله: 5,065 تعداد دریافت فایل اصل مقاله: 771 |