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تحلیل اثربخشی سناریوهای احیای آبخوان مشهد با استفاده از مدلسازی پویایی سیستم‌ها | ||
| تحقیقات آب و خاک ایران | ||
| دوره 53، شماره 3، خرداد 1401، صفحه 527-541 اصل مقاله (1.77 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijswr.2022.338863.669205 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| حامد مازندرانی زاده* 1؛ سکینه کوهی2 | ||
| 1استادیار، دگروه مهندسی آب، دانشگاه بین المللی امام خمینی، قزوین | ||
| 2گروه مهندسی آب، دانشگاه بین المللی امام خمینی (ره)، قزوین، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| روند نزولی حجم ذخایر آب زیرزمینی در مناطق خشک و نیمه خشک، همچون بسیاری از دشتهای ایران، تبدیل به چالشی بزرگ شده است. از سوی دیگر ایجاد و توسعه شبکه جمعآوری فاضلاب شهری باعث کاهش جریان ورودی به آبخوانها و در نتیجه تشدید روند کاهش این ذخایر شده است. هدف از انجام این مطالعه بررسی میزان تاثیر راهکارهایی در چارچوب اصول توسعه پایدار بر بهبود روند کاهش ذخیره آبخوان تحت 5 سناریوی مختلف با استفاده از پویایی سیستم است. آبخوان دشت مشهد به عنوان مطالعه موردی در این پژوهش انتخاب شده است. شبیهسازی آبخوان با استفاده از رویکرد پویایی سیستم و نرمافزار Vensim PLE طی دوره آماری 1360-1420 انجام گرفته است. لازم بذکر است که تحلیل حساسیت و واسنجی مدل با توجه به دادههای مشاهداتی حجم آبخوان برای دوره زمانی 1362 تا 1392 و بررسی تاثیر سناریوهای مختلف بر حجم آبخوان تا سال 1420 مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است. نتایج تحلیل حساسیت مدل در این مطالعه حاکی از آن است که تغییرات حجم آبخوان دارای بیشترین حساسیت نسبت به ضریب جریان بازگشتی در بخشهای شرب و کشاورزی میباشد. نتایج نشان داد که با افزایش سطوح نفوذپذیر در معماری شهری نسبت به سناریوهای 2 و 3، منجر به بهبود حدود 16 و 19 درصدی وضعیت تغذیه آبخوان شده است. بطور کلی با استفاده از روشهایی همچون تغییر شیوه کشاورزی، افزایش بهرهوری آب و همچنین اصلاح معماری شهری با تمرکز بر افزایش سطوح نفوذپذیر میتوان بین 0/22 تا 58 درصد از کسری مخزن ناشی از جمعآوری فاضلاب شهری (نسبت به سناریوی دوم) را کاهش داد. درحالی‌که با ادامه وضعیت فعلی، بیلان منفی آبخوان ادامه یافته و میتواند منجر به مرگ آبخوان و بروز آسیبهای جبرانناپذیر اقتصادی و اجتماعی شود. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| شبکه فاضلاب؛ توسعه پایدار؛ منابع آب زیرزمینی؛ تعادل بخشی | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Investigating the Impacts of Restoration Scenarios for Mashhad Aquifer Using Systems Dynamic Approach | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| hamed mazandarani zadeh1؛ Sakine Koohi2 | ||
| 1associated professor, water eng. group, Imam Khomeini International University، Qazvin | ||
| 2Water Engineering Dept./ Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| The declining trend of groundwater reserves due to the high importance of these resources for water supply has become a major challenge, especially in arid and semi-arid regions such as many plains of Iran. On the other hand, establishing an urban wastewater project will directly impact the aquifer of the plain and intensify the process of reducing these reserves. This study investigates the effect of revival strategies in the framework of sustainable development principles on improving the aquifer reserves under five different scenarios. The Mashhad aquifer was picked as a case study. Simulation of the aquifer was performed using the system dynamics approach and Vensim PLE model during 1362-1420. Sensitivity analysis and calibration of the model were done during the period of 1362 to 1392, and the model was simulated until 1420 for evaluatation of different scenarios. Sensitivity analysis results demonstrated that aquifer volume has the highest sensitivity to the return coefficient of drinking and agricultural sectors. Increasing the pervious surfaces in urban architecture has improved about 16 and 19 percent in the aquifer recharging compared to scenarios 2 and 3. Generally, using methods such as changing agricultural methods, increasing water productivity, and improving urban architecture with a focus on increasing permeable levels, it can reduce the aquifer shortage between 22.0 % to 58.5%, compared to scenario 2. While not paying attention to the proposed methods led to a negative balance, and the aquifer will be in a critical and irreparable situation. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| Aquifer, Wastewater Network, Sustainable Development, Dynamic System, Groundwater Resources | ||
| مراجع | ||
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