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سیاست دلارزدایی چین و تأثیر آن بر هژمونی دلار آمریکا | ||
مطالعات کشورها | ||
دوره 2، شماره 2، 1403، صفحه 189-220 اصل مقاله (712.69 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jcountst.2023.367816.1075 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
سید حمزه صالحی1؛ سید مسعود موسوی شفائی* 1؛ ولی گلمحمدی1؛ امیرمحمد حاجی یوسفی2 | ||
1گروه روابط بینالملل، دانشکدة علوم انسانی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران. | ||
2گروه روابط بینالملل، دانشکدة اقتصاد و علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران. | ||
چکیده | ||
نقش بینالمللی دلار در اقتصاد جهانی همچنان نقشی مسلط است؛ اما، این اعتقاد وجود دارد که مسائلی مانند تحولات ژئوپلیتیکی، پیشرفت فناوری و در نهایت افزایش نقش رو به رشد چین، همچون قدرتی نوظهور، ممکن است هژمونی دلار آمریکا را در جایگاه قدرت مسلط با چالش روبهرو کند. چین در راستای دلارزدایی، سیاستهای مهم و متنوعی اتخاذ کرده است تا بتواند یکی از مهمترین پایههای قدرت آمریکا را تضعیف کند. بر همین مبنا، در پژوهش حاضر، با استفاده از روش تحلیلیـتبیینی و با استفاده از منابع مکتوب و اینترنتی و دادههای نهادهای مالی و بانکی در پی پاسخ به این سؤال مهم هستیم: چین در راستای دلارزدایی چه اقدامهایی انجام داده و تا چه اندازه تأثیرگذار بوده است؟ فرضیة مطرحشده این است که بهعلت سیطرة دلار بر ساختار مالی و نظام پرداخت بینالمللی و نیز وابستگی کشورهای جهان، ازجمله خود چین، به این ساختار، اقدامهای متنوعی که چین برای تضعیف دلار اتخاذ کرده، تاکنون هژمونی دلار را با چالشی جدی روبهرو نکرده است. یافتههای این پژوهش نشان میدهد که اگرچه سیاست دلارزدایی چین تهدیدی بالقوه برای هژمونی دلار است، تاکنون نتوانسته است تسلط ارزی آمریکا را با چالش روبهرو کند و بهنظر میرسد نظم مبتنیبر دلار تا آیندة قابلپیشبینی ادامه خواهد داشت. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
آمریکا؛ چین؛ دلارزدایی؛ هژمونی دلار | ||
عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
China's de-dollarization policy and its impact on the hegemony of the US dollar | ||
نویسندگان [English] | ||
Seyed Hamzeh Salehi1؛ Seyed Masoud Mousavi Shafaee1؛ Vali Golmohammadi1؛ Amir Mohammad Haji-Yousefi2 | ||
1Department of International Relations, Faculty of Humanities, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, Iran. | ||
2Department of International Relations, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran. | ||
چکیده [English] | ||
The international role of the dollar in the global economy remains dominant. Nonetheless, there is a belief that various factors, including geopolitical changes, technological advancements, and China's increasing role as an emerging power, may challenge the hegemony of the American dollar as a dominant force. China has implemented a range of significant and diverse policies in pursuit of de-dollarization to weaken one of the key pillars of American power. In this research, we employ an analytical-explanatory method and draw upon written and online sources, as well as data from financial and banking institutions, to address the fundamental question: What actions has China taken in pursuit of de-dollarization, and to what extent have they been effective? The hypothesis proposed suggests that considering the dollar's control over the financial structure and the international payment system, as well as the world's countries dependence, including China's, on the existing financial and monetary structure, dollar hegemony has persisted despite China's confrontational policies and has not encountered significant challenges thus far. The research findings suggest that while China's de-dollarization policy is acknowledged as a potential threat to dollar hegemony, it has not succeeded in challenging the dominance of the American currency, and it appears that the dollar-based system will continue predictably into the future. | ||
کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
China, de-dollarization, dollar hegemony, US | ||
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مراجع | ||
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