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Osobase, Anthony, Ohioze, Wilson, Musa, Samuel, Ojo, Tope, Charles, Ayobola. (1403). Is Population Growth a Requisite For National Economic Growth? A Revisit of the Debates Using Panel Data Analysis. , 28(2), 640-678. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.344648.1007482
Anthony Onogiese Osobase; Wilson Friday Ohioze; Samuel Olayinka Musa; Tope Joshua Ojo; Ayobola Olufolake Charles. "Is Population Growth a Requisite For National Economic Growth? A Revisit of the Debates Using Panel Data Analysis". , 28, 2, 1403, 640-678. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.344648.1007482
Osobase, Anthony, Ohioze, Wilson, Musa, Samuel, Ojo, Tope, Charles, Ayobola. (1403). 'Is Population Growth a Requisite For National Economic Growth? A Revisit of the Debates Using Panel Data Analysis', , 28(2), pp. 640-678. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.344648.1007482
Osobase, Anthony, Ohioze, Wilson, Musa, Samuel, Ojo, Tope, Charles, Ayobola. Is Population Growth a Requisite For National Economic Growth? A Revisit of the Debates Using Panel Data Analysis. , 1403; 28(2): 640-678. doi: 10.22059/ier.2024.344648.1007482

Is Population Growth a Requisite For National Economic Growth? A Revisit of the Debates Using Panel Data Analysis

Iranian Economic Review
مقاله 14، دوره 28، شماره 2، شهریور 2024، صفحه 640-678    اصل مقاله (909.59 K)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ier.2024.344648.1007482
نویسندگان
Anthony Onogiese Osobase* 1؛ Wilson Friday Ohioze2؛ Samuel Olayinka Musa3؛ Tope Joshua Ojo4؛ Ayobola Olufolake Charles5
1Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Akoka-Yaba, Lagos state
2National Open University of Nigeria (NOUN), Jabi, Abuja, Nigeria
3Department of Economics, Caleb University, Imota, Lagos State
4Department of Economics, Olabisi Onabanjo University, Ago-Iwoye, Ogun state
5Department of Economics, Trinity University, Lagos state, Nigeria
چکیده
This current paper reassesses the controversial discourse regarding the impact and predictability of economic growth by population growth using data from 66 countries that constitute 85 percent of the global population. The countries were drawn from the six continents and the panel data span through the periods 2001-2019. The variables include GDP per capita used to measure economic growth (Regressand), aggregate population, fertility rate, life expectancy, crude death rate as well as gross fixed capital formation. The Pedroni residual cointegration test, fixed effects estimator, and panel causality tests were utilized to estimate the data at the regional and global levels. The result of the cointegration test established that the regressand and regressors have a long-run relationship both at the regional and global levels. Findings from the fixed effects model suggest that the main variable (population growth) exerts a negative significant effect on per-capita GDP in each continent. While the result for the complete continent advances that GDP per capita is adversely and significantly predicted by population growth and fertility rate whereas, gross fixed capital formation and crude death rate exert a direct significant effect on the regressand. The panel causality result for the whole continent suggests that there is a two-way causality between the regressand and the regressors. Following the findings, it is recommended that pragmatic policy measures that will control the rising fertility and rate encourage skill acquisition programs, and raise employment generation for the rising population will be a welcome development.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Causality Test؛ Economic Growth؛ Fixed Effects Model؛ Population Growth
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