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شبیه‌سازی رواناب با مدل HEC-HMS و آنالیز حساسیت پارامترهای روندیابی هیدروگراف سیل با استفاده از الگوریتم تکامل تفاضلی (مطالعه موردی : حوضه آبریز رودخانه مرک) | ||
| تحقیقات آب و خاک ایران | ||
| دوره 55، شماره 4، تیر 1403، صفحه 519-536 اصل مقاله (2.5 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/ijswr.2024.371600.669656 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| کامران عزیزی؛ مریم حافظ پرست مودت* | ||
| گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده کشاورزی، دانشگاه رازی، کرمانشاه، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| شبیه‌سازی بارش رواناب و تولید هیدروگراف، کاربرد فراوانی در تحلیل رفتار حوضه در مقابل بارش، محاسبه حجم و پیک سیلاب، میزان تلفات و امکان طراحی ابعاد سازه‌ها دارد. یکی از رایج‌ترین مدل‌های شبیه‌ساز HEC-HMS می‌باشد. در این پژوهش با هدف آنالیز حساسیت پارامترهای روندیابی هیدروگراف سیل در حوضه آبریز رودخانه مرک، ابتدا با افزونه HEC-GeoHMS در محیط Arc GIS و نقشه DEM منطقه، خصوصیات فیزیوگرافی حوضه ساخته و در مدل HEC-HMS فراخوانی گردید. سپس با وارد نمودن داده‌های سه رخداد سیلاب و بارش متناظر آن، هیدروگراف محاسباتی ایجاد و جهت واسنجی ابتدا به‌روش سعی وخطا مدل در محدوده‌ای مطلوب قرار گرفت که بتوان با استفاده از الگوریتم تکامل تفاضلی بهینه‌سازی را انجام داد. در بهینه‌سازی با تابع هدف به‌حداقل رساندن میانگین مجموع مربعات خطا، پارامترهای K و X ماسکینگام که حساسیت ویژه‌ای در تولید هیدروگراف دارند بهینه و کارایی مدل را در رده عالی قرار داد بطوریکه برای رخداد سیلاب تاریخ آبان 1394 معادل نوامبر2015 و با شرط توقف 50 تکرار (NSE=0.871, PBIAS=25.52, RMSE=0.4, NRMSE=2.63)، در رخداد سیلاب فروردین 1395 معادل مارس2016 ( NSE=0.731, PBIAS=28.82, RMSE=0.5, NRMSE=1.01) و در رخداد اسفند 1398 معادل فوریه2020 (NSE=0.834, PBIAS=7.96, RMSE=0.4, NRMSE=0.95) قرار گرفت که نشان از کارایی عالی مدل بعد از بهینه‌سازی ضرایب ماسکینگام با الگوریتم تکامل تفاضلی(DE) دارد. | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها | ||
| HEC-GeoHMS؛ HEC-HMS؛ آنالیز حساسیت؛ ماسکینگام؛ مرک | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Runoff simulation with HEC-HMS model and sensitivity analysis of flood hydrograph trending parameters using differential evolution algorithm (case study: Merck River catchment) | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Kamran Azizi؛ Maryam HafezParast mavedat | ||
| Department of Water Engineering, Faculty of Agriculture, Razi University of Kermanshah, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Simulation of runoff and hydrograph production is widely used in analyzing the behavior of basin against precipitation, calculating the volume and peak of floods, the amount of losses and the possibility of designing the dimensions of structures. HEC-HMS is one of the most common simulator models In this study, with the aim of analyzing the sensitivity of flood hydrograph routing parameters in the Merk River basin, first, the physiographic characteristics of the basin were constructed with the HEC-GeoHMS plugin in the Arc GIS environment and the DEM map of the area and they were called in the HEC-HMS model. then by entering the three flood event data and its corresponding precipitation, computational hydrograph is created. For calibration, at first by trial and error, the model was placed in a suitable range which can be optimized using differential evolution algorithm. In optimizing the target function to make the average at least of the sum of squares of error, the K and X Muskingum parameters, which are particularly sensitive to hydrograph production, placed the model optimization and its performance in the excellent category so that for the event of November 2015 floods and a stop of 50 iteration (NSE=0.871, PBias=25.52, RMSE=0.4, NRMSE=2.63), for the event of March 2016 floods (NSE=0.731, PBias=28.82, RMSE=0.5, NRMSE=1.01) and in February 2020 (NSE=0.834, PBias=7.96, RMSE=0.4, NRMSE=0.95) which indicate an excellent performance of the model after optimization of the Muskingum coefficients by differential evolution algorithm (DE). | ||
| کلیدواژه‌ها [English] | ||
| HEC-GeoHMS, HEC-HMS, Merck, Muskingum, Sensitivity analysis | ||
| مراجع | ||
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