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Hatefi, Mohammad Ali. (1395). Introducing an Applicable Technique for Ranking and Selecting Project Portfolio, based on Qualitative Risk Assessment. , 50(1), 133-145. doi: 10.22059/jieng.2016.59438
Mohammad Ali Hatefi. "Introducing an Applicable Technique for Ranking and Selecting Project Portfolio, based on Qualitative Risk Assessment". , 50, 1, 1395, 133-145. doi: 10.22059/jieng.2016.59438
Hatefi, Mohammad Ali. (1395). 'Introducing an Applicable Technique for Ranking and Selecting Project Portfolio, based on Qualitative Risk Assessment', , 50(1), pp. 133-145. doi: 10.22059/jieng.2016.59438
Hatefi, Mohammad Ali. Introducing an Applicable Technique for Ranking and Selecting Project Portfolio, based on Qualitative Risk Assessment. , 1395; 50(1): 133-145. doi: 10.22059/jieng.2016.59438

Introducing an Applicable Technique for Ranking and Selecting Project Portfolio, based on Qualitative Risk Assessment

Advances in Industrial Engineering
مقاله 11، دوره 50، شماره 1، تیر 2016، صفحه 133-145    اصل مقاله (412.68 K)
نوع مقاله: Research Paper
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22059/jieng.2016.59438
نویسنده
Mohammad Ali Hatefi*
Department of Energy Economics & Management, Petroleum University of Technology (PUT), Tehran, Iran.
چکیده
Projects execution is an important way to implement organizational strategies, especially in the project-based organizations. In such organizations, the decision-makers usually encounter a problem of the project portfolio selection. Of course, regarding the decision-makers’ risk attitude, they tend to direct organizational resources toward projects with low threats and high opportunities. This paper introduces a new technique for ranking projects and selecting a project portfolio, taking into account the decision-makers’ risk attitudes. In this technique, for application easiness, experts’ judgments are received as qualitative estimations. Besides, the proposed technique includes a special way to calculate the total risk level so that it avoids the computational issues of the traditional methods. At the end of this paper, an application of the proposed technique in a real case extracted from steel structure industry is analyzed.
کلیدواژه‌ها
Project portfolio management؛ Project Portfolio Selection؛ Project qualitative risk analysis؛ Project ranking؛ Risk attitude
عنوان مقاله [English]
یک روش کاربردی برای رتبه‌بندی و انتخاب سبد پروژه‌ها بر مبنای ارزیابی کیفی ریسک
نویسندگان [English]
محمدعلی هاتفی
استادیار گروه اقتصاد و مدیریت انرژی، دانشگاه صنعت نفت
چکیده [English]
انجام‌دادن پروژه‌ها راهی اساسی برای اجرای راهبردهای سازمانی، به‌ویژه در سازمان‌های پروژه‌محور است. در این‌گونه سازمان‌ها، تصمیم‌گیرندگان همواره با مسئلة انتخاب سبد پروژه‌ها روبه‌رو هستند و البته تمایل دارند با توجه به درجة ریسک‌پذیری خود، منابع محدود سازمان را به سمت پروژه‌هایی هدایت کنند که کمترین تهدید و بیشترین فرصت را داشته باشند. پژوهش حاضر روشی جدید را برای رتبه‌بندی و انتخاب سبد پروژه‌ها با توجه به گرایش ریسک تصمیم‌گیرندگان ارائه می‌دهد. در این روش، به‌دلیل سهولت کاربرد، قضاوت خبرگان در قالب تخمین‌های کیفی ارائه می‌شود. همچنین، روش پیشنهادی شامل روش ویژه‌ای برای محاسبة سطح ریسک کل است که در آن از مشکلات محاسباتی روش‌های سنتی اجتناب می‌شود. در انتهای پژوهش، کاربرد روش پیشنهادی در نمونة واقعی مربوط به صنعت سازه‌های فولادی تحلیل می‌شود.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
انتخاب سبد پروژه‌ها, تحلیل کیفی ریسک پروژه, رتبه‌بندی پروژه‌ها, گرایش ریسک, مدیریت سبد پروژه‌ها
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